--- title: "HustleHouse MAX POTENTIAL case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "HustleHouse MAX POTENTIAL ($13.12) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.67% from 7 items with odds, observed 96.22% over 94 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/447 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [HustleHouse MAX POTENTIAL](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/447) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · HustleHouse MAX POTENTIAL A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/447?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/447?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/447) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/447?window=all) Price · $13.12 · 20.66 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.67% · EV $11.63 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.22% · 94 openings, odds method Variance · 817.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 2,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 64 openings · below min 30 days · 94 openings · below min since tracking started · 94 openings · below min -0.5% 886.3% 1773.0% **Small sample.** 94 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/447?window=24h) | 10 | 0.10% ±1772.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/447?window=7d) | 64 | 53.60% ±700.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/447) | 94 | 96.22% ±578.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/447?window=all) | 94 | 96.22% ±578.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 94 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo) | 1 in 10,000 | $31.9K 50,312 HUNT\_COIN | 27.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo) | 1 in 2,500 | $9,444 14,875 HUNT\_COIN | 32.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,028 3,194 HUNT\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $736 1,159 HUNT\_COIN | 6.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $338 533 HUNT\_COIN | 5.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Souvenir XM1014 \| CaliCamo (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-calicamo-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $111 175 HUNT\_COIN | 19.1% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) | 97.6% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 91 | 91.7 | 0.99× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $13.12 20.66 HUNT\_COIN $736 1,159 HUNT\_COIN 56.12x 2026-11-03 21:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=447) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $13.12 20.66 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $13.12 20.66 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $13.12 20.66 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $13.12 20.66 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $13.12 20.66 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $13.12 20.66 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $13.12 20.66 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $13.12 20.66 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $13.12 20.66 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $13.12 20.66 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $13.12 | 88.67% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 0.1% covert 0.3% restricted 0.1% industrial 2.0% consumer 97.6% best hit $736 (56.12x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.67 on average: an expected loss of $11.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt