--- title: "HustleHouse 1% Knives case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "HustleHouse 1% Knives ($3.05) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.40% from 10 items with odds, observed 147.39% over 103 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/449 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [HustleHouse 1% Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/449) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · HustleHouse 1% Knives A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/449?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/449?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/449) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/449?window=all) Price · $3.05 · 4.81 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.40% · EV $2.70 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 147.39% · 103 openings, odds method Variance · 461.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 476 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 83 openings · below min 30 days · 103 openings · below min since tracking started · 103 openings · below min -0.5% 322.5% 645.5% **Small sample.** 103 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/449?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/449?window=7d) | 83 | 182.80% ±462.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/449) | 103 | 147.39% ±415.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/449?window=all) | 103 | 147.39% ±415.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 103 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $5,693 8,966 HUNT\_COIN | 21.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,852 2,917 HUNT\_COIN | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $492 775 HUNT\_COIN | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $332 523 HUNT\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $280 441 HUNT\_COIN | 10.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 714 | $222 350 HUNT\_COIN | 11.5% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $153 242 HUNT\_COIN | 11.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $129 203 HUNT\_COIN | 9.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $111 175 HUNT\_COIN | 10.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 99.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 100 | 102.0 | 0.98× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.05 4.81 HUNT\_COIN $222 350 HUNT\_COIN 72.74x 2026-11-08 09:15 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=449) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [POSK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/POSK) $3.05 4.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.05 4.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.05 4.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.05 4.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.05 4.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.05 4.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.05 4.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 09:15 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.05 4.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 09:15 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.05 4.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 09:15 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.05 4.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 09:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.05 | 88.40% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.9% covert knife 0.1% consumer 99.0% best hit $222 (72.74x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.40 on average: an expected loss of $11.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt