--- title: "HORLYA case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "HORLYA ($71.32) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.61% over 18 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/451 rendered: 2026-11-13T03:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [HORLYA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/451) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · HORLYA A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/451?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/451?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/451) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/451?window=all) Price · $71.32 · 112 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.61% · 18 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 99.8% 200.0% **Small sample.** 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/451?window=24h) | 6 | 81.61% ±118.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/451?window=7d) | 6 | 81.61% ±118.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/451) | 18 | 81.61% ±64.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/451?window=all) | 18 | 81.61% ±64.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=451) [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $71.32 112 HUNT\_COIN $271 427 HUNT\_COIN 3.80x 2026-11-12 10:21 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) Hidden $71.32 112 HUNT\_COIN $44.25 69.7 HUNT\_COIN 0.62x 2026-11-12 10:21 UTC [Sticker | Gambit Gaming (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming-holo) Hidden $71.32 112 HUNT\_COIN $8.53 13.44 HUNT\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-12 10:21 UTC [Sticker | Gambit Gaming (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming-holo) Hidden $71.32 112 HUNT\_COIN $8.53 13.44 HUNT\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-12 10:21 UTC [Sticker | Gambit Gaming (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming-holo) Hidden $71.32 112 HUNT\_COIN $8.53 13.44 HUNT\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-12 10:21 UTC [Sticker | Gambit Gaming (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming-holo) [POSK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/POSK) $71.32 112 HUNT\_COIN $8.53 13.44 HUNT\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-12 10:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.61 on average: an expected loss of $18.39 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt