--- title: "0 25 % dream case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "0 25 % dream ($1.75) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.23% from 6 items with odds, observed 68.46% over 593 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/457 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [0 25 % dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/457) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 0 25 % dream A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/457?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/457?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/457) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/457?window=all) Price · $1.75 · 2.76 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.23% · EV $1.53 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 68.46% · 593 openings, odds method Variance · 580.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 2,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 405 openings · below min 30 days · 593 openings · below min since tracking started · 593 openings · below min -0.5% 394.0% 788.5% **Small sample.** 593 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/457?window=24h) | 36 | 0.72% ±787.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/457?window=7d) | 405 | 33.47% ±234.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/457) | 593 | 68.46% ±193.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/457?window=all) | 593 | 68.46% ±193.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 608 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,623 4,131 HUNT\_COIN | 17.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,778 2,800 HUNT\_COIN | 23.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $971 1,529 HUNT\_COIN | 12.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $472 743 HUNT\_COIN | 30.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $232 366 HUNT\_COIN | 15.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) | 99.8% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 606 | 606.5 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1.75 2.76 HUNT\_COIN $472 743 HUNT\_COIN 269.1x 2026-11-03 05:33 UTC [★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $1.75 2.76 HUNT\_COIN $232 366 HUNT\_COIN 132.6x 2026-11-07 03:48 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=457) [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.75 2.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:03 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.75 2.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:03 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $1.75 2.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:03 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.75 2.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:56 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.75 2.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:56 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $1.75 2.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:56 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.75 2.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.75 2.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.75 2.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.75 2.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.75 | 87.23% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 0.0% legendary 0.0% covert knife 0.1% sunny 0.1% other 99.8% best hit $472 (269.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.23 on average: an expected loss of $12.77 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt