--- title: "EZ WAGER CASE case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "EZ WAGER CASE ($2.18) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.52% from 5 items with odds, observed 251.84% over 209 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/462 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [EZ WAGER CASE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/462) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · EZ WAGER CASE A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/462?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/462?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/462) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/462?window=all) Price · $2.18 · 3.43 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.52% · EV $1.93 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 251.84% · 209 openings, odds method Variance · 32.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 143 openings · below min 30 days · 209 openings · below min since tracking started · 209 openings · below min 88.0% 268.0% 448.0% **Small sample.** 209 openings and 2.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/462?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/462?window=7d) | 143 | 354.68% ±92.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/462) | 209 | 251.84% ±76.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/462?window=all) | 209 | 251.84% ±76.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 209 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $326 514 HUNT\_COIN | 16.9% | 3 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $70.97 112 HUNT\_COIN | 33.1% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [M4A4 \| Tornado (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tornado-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $6.41 10.09 HUNT\_COIN | 16.6% | 6 | 10.5 | 0.57× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $5.63 8.87 HUNT\_COIN | 11.7% | 7 | 8.4 | 0.84× | | [Sticker \| In The Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-in-the-fire-foil) | 90.0% | $0.46 0.73 HUNT\_COIN | 21.6% | 193 | 188.1 | 1.03× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) Hidden $2.18 3.43 HUNT\_COIN $326 514 HUNT\_COIN 149.8x 2026-11-09 09:20 UTC [AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) Hidden $2.18 3.43 HUNT\_COIN $326 514 HUNT\_COIN 149.8x 2026-11-09 08:47 UTC [AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) Hidden $2.18 3.43 HUNT\_COIN $326 514 HUNT\_COIN 149.8x 2026-11-04 15:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=462) [Sticker | In The Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-in-the-fire-foil) Hidden $2.18 3.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.46 0.73 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-09 22:08 UTC [Sticker | In The Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-in-the-fire-foil) Hidden $2.18 3.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.46 0.73 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-09 22:08 UTC [Sticker | In The Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-in-the-fire-foil) Hidden $2.18 3.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.46 0.73 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-09 22:08 UTC [Sticker | In The Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-in-the-fire-foil) Hidden $2.18 3.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.46 0.73 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-09 22:08 UTC [Sticker | In The Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-in-the-fire-foil) Hidden $2.18 3.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.46 0.73 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-09 22:08 UTC [Sticker | In The Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-in-the-fire-foil) [osany](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/osany) $2.18 3.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.46 0.73 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-09 22:08 UTC [Sticker | In The Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-in-the-fire-foil) Hidden $2.18 3.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.46 0.73 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-09 22:08 UTC [Sticker | In The Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-in-the-fire-foil) Hidden $2.18 3.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.46 0.73 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-09 22:08 UTC [Sticker | In The Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-in-the-fire-foil) Hidden $2.18 3.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.46 0.73 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-09 22:08 UTC [M4A4 | Tornado (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tornado-well-worn) Hidden $2.18 3.43 HUNT\_COIN $6.41 10.09 HUNT\_COIN 2.94x 2026-11-09 22:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.18 | 88.52% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 1.0% industrial 5.0% #d32ee6 4.0% exotic 90.0% best hit $326 (149.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.52 on average: an expected loss of $11.48 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt