--- title: "20% EZ WAGER case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "20% EZ WAGER ($2.45) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.39% from 5 items with odds, observed 82.37% over 79 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/474 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [20% EZ WAGER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/474) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 20% EZ WAGER A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/474?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/474?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/474) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/474?window=all) Price · $2.45 · 3.86 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.39% · EV $2.14 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.37% · 79 openings, odds method Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 79 openings · below min 30 days · 79 openings · below min since tracking started · 79 openings · below min 35.0% 99.3% 163.5% **Small sample.** 79 openings and 7.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/474?window=24h) | 36 | 99.27% ±63.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/474?window=7d) | 79 | 82.37% ±42.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/474) | 79 | 82.37% ±42.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/474?window=all) | 79 | 82.37% ±42.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 79 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $24.29 38.26 HUNT\_COIN | 11.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $12.43 19.57 HUNT\_COIN | 46.4% | 4 | 6.3 | 0.63× | | [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Silver (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $12.20 19.22 HUNT\_COIN | 22.8% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.27× | | [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $8.33 13.12 HUNT\_COIN | 17.5% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.13× | | [Sticker \| gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) | 82.5% | $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 66 | 65.2 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=474) [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $2.45 3.86 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $2.45 3.86 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $2.45 3.86 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $2.45 3.86 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $2.45 3.86 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $2.45 3.86 HUNT\_COIN $24.29 38.26 HUNT\_COIN 9.91x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $2.45 3.86 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $2.45 3.86 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $2.45 3.86 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC [AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.45 3.86 HUNT\_COIN $8.33 13.12 HUNT\_COIN 3.40x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.45 | 87.39% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% classified 8.0% Industrial 4.0% pink 4.5% other 82.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.39 on average: an expected loss of $12.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt