--- title: "30% Gold case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "30% Gold ($8.54) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.34% from 7 items with odds, observed 47.24% over 24 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/486 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [30% Gold](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/486) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 30% Gold A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/486?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/486?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/486) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/486?window=all) Price · $8.54 · 13.45 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.34% · EV $7.46 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 47.24% · 24 openings, odds method Variance · 9.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min -0.5% 85.5% 171.5% **Small sample.** 24 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/486?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/486?window=7d) | 24 | 47.24% ±123.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/486) | 24 | 47.24% ±123.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/486?window=all) | 24 | 47.24% ±123.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $625 984 HUNT\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 250 | $172 271 HUNT\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Flammable (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flammable-foil) | 1 in 67 | $82.72 130 HUNT\_COIN | 16.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $54.65 86.08 HUNT\_COIN | 22.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shapewood (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shapewood-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $27.37 43.1 HUNT\_COIN | 18.3% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $7.75 12.21 HUNT\_COIN | 20.8% | 8 | 4.8 | 1.67× | | [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) | 70.0% | $0.50 0.78 HUNT\_COIN | 4.6% | 15 | 16.8 | 0.89× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=486) [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) Hidden $8.54 13.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.50 0.78 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:14 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) Hidden $8.54 13.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.50 0.78 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:14 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) Hidden $8.54 13.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.50 0.78 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:14 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.54 13.45 HUNT\_COIN $7.75 12.21 HUNT\_COIN 0.91x 2026-11-09 21:14 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) Hidden $8.54 13.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.50 0.78 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:14 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) [EdgaDarog](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/EdgaDarog) $8.54 13.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.50 0.78 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:14 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) Hidden $8.54 13.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.50 0.78 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:12 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) Hidden $8.54 13.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.50 0.78 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:12 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shapewood-factory-new) Hidden $8.54 13.45 HUNT\_COIN $27.37 43.1 HUNT\_COIN 3.20x 2026-11-09 21:12 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) Hidden $8.54 13.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.50 0.78 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.54 | 87.34% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.1% gold 0.4% exotic 1.5% classified 25.0% violet 70.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.34 on average: an expected loss of $12.66 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt