--- title: "10% Asiimov case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Asiimov ($10.37) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.37% from 6 items with odds, observed 69.26% over 78 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/488 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% Asiimov](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/488) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% Asiimov A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/488?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/488?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/488) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/488?window=all) Price · $10.37 · 16.33 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.37% · EV $9.06 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 69.26% · 78 openings, odds method Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 22 openings · below min 30 days · 78 openings · below min since tracking started · 78 openings · below min -0.5% 64.0% 128.5% **Small sample.** 78 openings and 15.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/488?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/488?window=7d) | 22 | 47.49% ±80.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/488) | 78 | 69.26% ±42.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/488?window=all) | 78 | 69.26% ±42.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 78 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $451 711 HUNT\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $312 492 HUNT\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $72.92 115 HUNT\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $54.72 86.19 HUNT\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 19.0% | $32.01 50.41 HUNT\_COIN | 67.1% | 13 | 14.8 | 0.88× | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 80.0% | $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN | 19.6% | 65 | 62.4 | 1.04× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=488) [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.37 16.33 HUNT\_COIN $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-08 08:39 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.37 16.33 HUNT\_COIN $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-08 08:39 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.37 16.33 HUNT\_COIN $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-08 08:39 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.37 16.33 HUNT\_COIN $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-08 08:39 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.37 16.33 HUNT\_COIN $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-08 08:39 UTC [P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) [India4life4416](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/India4life4416) $10.37 16.33 HUNT\_COIN $32.01 50.41 HUNT\_COIN 3.09x 2026-11-08 08:39 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.37 16.33 HUNT\_COIN $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-08 03:27 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.37 16.33 HUNT\_COIN $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-08 03:27 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.37 16.33 HUNT\_COIN $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-08 03:27 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) [Terracidre](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Terracidre) $10.37 16.33 HUNT\_COIN $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-08 03:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.37 | 87.37% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed epic 0.1% covert 19.6% Legendary 0.4% classified 80.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.37 on average: an expected loss of $12.63 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt