---
title: "BEEFY 5% TOURNAMENT case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "BEEFY 5% TOURNAMENT ($31.83) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.38% from 29 items with odds, observed 112.36% over 36 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/494
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [BEEFY 5% TOURNAMENT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/494)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · BEEFY 5% TOURNAMENT

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/494?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/494?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/494) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/494?window=all)

Price · $31.83 · 50.14 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 87.38% · EV $27.82 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 112.36% · 36 openings, odds method

Variance · 61.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 185 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 94.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 12 openings · below min

30 days · 36 openings · below min

since tracking started · 36 openings · below min

-0.5% 246.0% 492.5%

**Small sample.** 36 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/494?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/494?window=7d) | 12 | 46.96% ±444.9 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/494) | 36 | 112.36% ±256.9 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/494?window=all) | 36 | 112.36% ±256.9 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 36 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo) | 1 in 2,000 | $6,667 10,500 HUNT\_COIN | 12.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Happy (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-happy-gold) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,483 10,210 HUNT\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,415 10,103 HUNT\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,389 10,062 HUNT\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,250 9,844 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,875 4,528 HUNT\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,846 4,482 HUNT\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,840 4,473 HUNT\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,778 4,375 HUNT\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,778 4,375 HUNT\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $816 1,285 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $811 1,277 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $806 1,269 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $799 1,258 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $776 1,223 HUNT\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $305 481 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $303 478 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 400 | $301 474 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $300 472 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $292 459 HUNT\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $150 236 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $148 233 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $147 231 HUNT\_COIN | 2.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $146 230 HUNT\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $142 224 HUNT\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $134 211 HUNT\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Sticker \| Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) | 30.9% | $3.66 5.77 HUNT\_COIN | 4.1% | 6 | 11.1 | 0.54× |
| [Sticker \| Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) | 32.0% | $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN | 3.0% | 14 | 11.5 | 1.22× |
| [Sticker \| Bosh (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bosh-holo) | 32.0% | $2.50 3.94 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 11 | 11.5 | 0.95× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=494)

[Sticker | Bosh (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bosh-holo) Hidden $31.83 50.14 HUNT\_COIN $2.50 3.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-05 13:52 UTC

[P2000 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.83 50.14 HUNT\_COIN $150 236 HUNT\_COIN 4.71x 2026-11-05 13:52 UTC

[Sticker | Bosh (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bosh-holo) Hidden $31.83 50.14 HUNT\_COIN $2.50 3.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-05 13:52 UTC

[Sticker | Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) Hidden $31.83 50.14 HUNT\_COIN $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-05 13:52 UTC

[Sticker | Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) Hidden $31.83 50.14 HUNT\_COIN $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-05 13:52 UTC

[Sticker | Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $31.83 50.14 HUNT\_COIN $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-05 13:52 UTC

[Sticker | Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) Hidden $31.83 50.14 HUNT\_COIN $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-04 22:00 UTC

[Sticker | Bosh (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bosh-holo) Hidden $31.83 50.14 HUNT\_COIN $2.50 3.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-04 22:00 UTC

[Sticker | Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) Hidden $31.83 50.14 HUNT\_COIN $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-04 22:00 UTC

[Sticker | Bosh (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bosh-holo) Hidden $31.83 50.14 HUNT\_COIN $2.50 3.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-04 22:00 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $31.83 | 87.38% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 0.1% knifes 0.0% legendary 0.3% covert 1.9% extraordinary 0.7% gold 0.1% #ffd700 0.1% covert knife 1.0% classified 1.0% Remarkable 30.9% remarkable 32.0% violet 32.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.38 on average: an expected loss of $12.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt