--- title: "Terminal 30% case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Terminal 30% ($0.23) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 85.56% from 2 items with odds, observed 79.37% over 84 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/497 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Terminal 30%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/497) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Terminal 30% A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/497?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/497?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/497) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/497?window=all) Price · $0.23 · 0.36 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 85.56% · EV $0.20 from 2 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.37% · 84 openings, odds method Variance · 0.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 100.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 84 openings · below min 30 days · 84 openings · below min since tracking started · 84 openings · below min 71.5% 79.3% 87.0% **Small sample.** 84 openings and 84.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/497?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/497?window=7d) | 84 | 79.37% ±7.08 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/497) | 84 | 79.37% ±7.08 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/497?window=all) | 84 | 79.37% ±7.08 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 84 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Sneaky Beaky Like sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sneaky-beaky-like) | 30.0% | $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN | 47.7% | 18 | 25.2 | 0.71× | | [Sticker \| Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) | 70.0% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN | 52.3% | 66 | 58.8 | 1.12× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=497) [Sticker | Sneaky Beaky Like sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sneaky-beaky-like) Hidden $0.23 0.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN 1.36x 2026-11-10 09:26 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $0.23 0.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-10 09:26 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) [Szafir skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Szafir%20skins.army) $0.23 0.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-10 09:26 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $0.23 0.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-10 08:50 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $0.23 0.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-10 08:50 UTC [Sticker | Sneaky Beaky Like sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sneaky-beaky-like) Hidden $0.23 0.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN 1.36x 2026-11-10 08:50 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $0.23 0.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-10 08:50 UTC [Sticker | Sneaky Beaky Like sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sneaky-beaky-like) Hidden $0.23 0.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN 1.36x 2026-11-10 08:50 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) [Szafir skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Szafir%20skins.army) $0.23 0.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-10 08:50 UTC [Sticker | Sneaky Beaky Like sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sneaky-beaky-like) Hidden $0.23 0.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN 1.36x 2026-11-10 08:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.23 | 85.56% | 2 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Rare 30.0% #4b69ff 70.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.56 on average: an expected loss of $14.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt