--- title: "money case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "money ($11.31) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.39% from 11 items with odds, observed 46.40% over 370 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/5 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [money](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/5) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · money A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/5?window=all) Price · $11.31 · 17.82 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.39% · EV $9.89 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 46.40% · 370 openings, odds method Variance · 33.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 118 openings · below min 30 days · 46.40% ±58.90 370 openings since tracking started · 46.40% ±58.90 370 openings -0.5% 235.0% 470.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/5?window=24h) | 6 | 7.34% ±462.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/5?window=7d) | 118 | 16.37% ±104.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/5) | 370 | 46.40% ±58.9 | −1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/5?window=all) | 370 | 46.40% ±58.9 | −1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 370 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,597 2,516 HUNT\_COIN | 16.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $550 866 HUNT\_COIN | 11.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $367 577 HUNT\_COIN | 11.1% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-well-worn) | 1 in 250 | $271 427 HUNT\_COIN | 11.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $174 273 HUNT\_COIN | 8.8% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $162 255 HUNT\_COIN | 16.4% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN | 10.5% | 3 | 5.5 | 0.54× | | [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $34.71 54.67 HUNT\_COIN | 10.5% | 14 | 11.1 | 1.26× | | [Sticker \| Dust FA (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dust-fa-foil) | 1 in 20 | $4.73 7.45 HUNT\_COIN | 2.4% | 20 | 18.5 | 1.08× | | [Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-charged-up-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $2.30 3.63 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 26 | 25.9 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) | 81.0% | $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 304 | 299.7 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.31 17.82 HUNT\_COIN $550 866 HUNT\_COIN 48.62x 2026-11-04 08:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=5) [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $11.31 17.82 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $11.31 17.82 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $11.31 17.82 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | Dust FA (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dust-fa-foil) Hidden $11.31 17.82 HUNT\_COIN $4.73 7.45 HUNT\_COIN 0.42x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $11.31 17.82 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $11.31 17.82 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | Dust FA (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dust-fa-foil) Hidden $11.31 17.82 HUNT\_COIN $4.73 7.45 HUNT\_COIN 0.42x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $11.31 17.82 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $11.31 17.82 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $11.31 17.82 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $11.31 | 87.39% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.6% other 81.2% extraordinary 1.2% covert knife 1.0% milspec 3.0% Legendary 5.0% violet 7.0% best hit $550 (48.62x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.39 on average: an expected loss of $12.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt