--- title: "WAGER TATIC CASE case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "WAGER TATIC CASE ($1.57) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.39% from 6 items with odds, observed 88.60% over 98 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/503 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [WAGER TATIC CASE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/503) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · WAGER TATIC CASE A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/503?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/503?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/503) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/503?window=all) Price · $1.57 · 2.48 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.39% · EV $1.38 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.60% · 98 openings, odds method Variance · 9.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 31.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 69.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 29 openings · below min 7 days · 98 openings · below min 30 days · 98 openings · below min since tracking started · 98 openings · below min -0.5% 98.3% 197.0% **Small sample.** 98 openings and 30.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/503?window=24h) | 29 | 82.04% ±114.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/503?window=7d) | 98 | 88.60% ±62.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/503) | 98 | 88.60% ±62.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/503?window=all) | 98 | 88.60% ±62.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 98 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50,000 | $332 523 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $242 381 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 1,053 | $94.03 148 HUNT\_COIN | 6.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $33.26 52.39 HUNT\_COIN | 24.2% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-battle-scarred) | 29.9% | $3.09 4.86 HUNT\_COIN | 67.1% | 33 | 29.3 | 1.13× | | [Sticker \| TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) | 69.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 64 | 67.6 | 0.95× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=503) [USP-S | Blueprint (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.57 2.48 HUNT\_COIN $3.09 4.86 HUNT\_COIN 1.96x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $1.57 2.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $1.57 2.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [USP-S | Blueprint (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.57 2.48 HUNT\_COIN $3.09 4.86 HUNT\_COIN 1.96x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $1.57 2.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $1.57 2.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:15 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $1.57 2.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:15 UTC [USP-S | Blueprint (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.57 2.48 HUNT\_COIN $3.09 4.86 HUNT\_COIN 1.96x 2026-11-10 22:15 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $1.57 2.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:15 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $1.57 2.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.57 | 87.39% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% Ancient 0.1% mil spec 29.9% high 69.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.39 on average: an expected loss of $12.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt