---
title: "mesytes cock case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "mesytes cock ($23.99) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.37% from 15 items with odds, observed 50.99% over 270 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/51
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [mesytes cock](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/51)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · mesytes cock

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/51?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/51?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/51) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/51?window=all)

Price · $23.99 · 37.78 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 87.37% · EV $20.96 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 50.99% · 270 openings, odds method

Variance · 9.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 28 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 66 openings · below min

30 days · 50.99% ±36.20 270 openings

since tracking started · 50.99% ±36.20 270 openings

-0.5% 122.8% 246.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 87.37% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (14.79% – 87.19%, 270 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/51?window=24h) | 6 | 2.44% ±242.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/51?window=7d) | 66 | 51.86% ±73.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/51) | 270 | 50.99% ±36.2 | −2.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/51?window=all) | 270 | 50.99% ±36.2 | −2.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 270 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,292 2,034 HUNT\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,250 1,969 HUNT\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| Fnatic sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic) | 1 in 2,000 | $657 1,035 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $428 674 HUNT\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 400 | $424 668 HUNT\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $324 511 HUNT\_COIN | 15.5% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $265 418 HUNT\_COIN | 12.7% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.48× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $222 350 HUNT\_COIN | 10.6% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $193 304 HUNT\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $161 254 HUNT\_COIN | 15.4% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.56× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $95.77 151 HUNT\_COIN | 9.1% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.74× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $94.03 148 HUNT\_COIN | 9.0% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Etch Lord (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-etch-lord-well-worn) | 30.0% | $1.63 2.56 HUNT\_COIN | 2.3% | 78 | 81.0 | 0.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) | 29.4% | $0.22 0.34 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 75 | 79.3 | 0.95× |
| [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) | 30.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 97 | 81.0 | 1.20× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=51)

[Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $23.99 37.78 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) Hidden $23.99 37.78 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-etch-lord-well-worn) Hidden $23.99 37.78 HUNT\_COIN $1.63 2.56 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC

[Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $23.99 37.78 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-etch-lord-well-worn) Hidden $23.99 37.78 HUNT\_COIN $1.63 2.56 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC

[Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $23.99 37.78 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC

[Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $23.99 37.78 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) Hidden $23.99 37.78 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC

[Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $23.99 37.78 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC

[Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $23.99 37.78 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $23.99 | 87.37% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 1.3% classified 2.1% other 0.1% covert knife 1.3% restricted 1.0% red 1.0% Covert 2.0% Ancient 2.0% #8847ff 30.0% blue 29.4% Common 30.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.37 on average: an expected loss of $12.63 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt