---
title: "JUSTDOIT case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "JUSTDOIT ($3.57) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.39% from 8 items with odds, observed 92.04% over 18 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/512
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [JUSTDOIT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/512)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · JUSTDOIT

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/512?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/512?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/512) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/512?window=all)

Price · $3.57 · 5.62 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 87.39% · EV $3.12 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.04% · 18 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 93.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 12 openings · below min

30 days · 18 openings · below min

since tracking started · 18 openings · below min

-0.5% 113.3% 227.0%

**Small sample.** 18 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/512?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/512?window=7d) | 12 | 4.12% ±164.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/512) | 18 | 92.04% ±134.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/512?window=all) | 18 | 92.04% ±134.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $54.72 86.19 HUNT\_COIN | 43.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-battlestar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $32.43 51.08 HUNT\_COIN | 41.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Etch Lord (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-etch-lord-well-worn) | 18.5% | $1.63 2.56 HUNT\_COIN | 9.6% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.60× |
| [Souvenir M4A4 \| Mainframe (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-mainframe-well-worn) | 15.0% | $0.97 1.52 HUNT\_COIN | 4.6% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |
| [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× |
| [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 15.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.48× |
| [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) | 15.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 5 | 2.7 | 1.85× |
| [P250 \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=512)

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [POSK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/POSK) $3.57 5.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.57 5.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.57 5.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC

[Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $3.57 5.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $3.57 5.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.57 5.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.57 5.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 15:37 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.57 5.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 15:37 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-etch-lord-well-worn) Hidden $3.57 5.62 HUNT\_COIN $1.63 2.56 HUNT\_COIN 0.46x 2026-11-07 15:37 UTC

[Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $3.57 5.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 15:37 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.57 | 87.39% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Legendary 2.5% covert 4.0% #8847ff 18.5% other 15.0% consumer 45.0% Common 15.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.39 on average: an expected loss of $12.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt