--- title: "5 per banger case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5 per banger ($5.66) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.16% from 8 items with odds, observed 55.23% over 327 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/515 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [5 per banger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/515) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 5 per banger A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/515?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/515?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/515) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/515?window=all) Price · $5.66 · 8.91 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.16% · EV $5.04 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 55.23% · 327 openings, odds method Variance · 23.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 57 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 43.90% ±56.73 285 openings 30 days · 55.23% ±52.96 327 openings since tracking started · 55.23% ±52.96 327 openings -0.5% 54.3% 109.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/515?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/515?window=7d) | 285 | 43.90% ±56.7 | −1.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/515) | 327 | 55.23% ±53.0 | −1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/515?window=all) | 327 | 55.23% ±53.0 | −1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 327 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,543 2,430 HUNT\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $339 534 HUNT\_COIN | 16.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $136 214 HUNT\_COIN | 13.5% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.22× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $90.08 142 HUNT\_COIN | 17.9% | 1 | 3.3 | 0.31× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $56.67 89.26 HUNT\_COIN | 16.9% | 2 | 4.9 | 0.41× | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $49.03 77.23 HUNT\_COIN | 16.9% | 6 | 5.7 | 1.05× | | [Sticker \| Baby Howl sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-howl) | 50.0% | $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN | 8.1% | 162 | 163.5 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| Banana sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-banana) | 45.0% | $0.78 1.23 HUNT\_COIN | 7.0% | 154 | 147.2 | 1.05× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=515) [Sticker | Baby Howl sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-howl) Hidden $5.66 8.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Sticker | Baby Howl sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-howl) Hidden $5.66 8.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Sticker | Baby Howl sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-howl) Hidden $5.66 8.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Sticker | Banana sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-banana) Hidden $5.66 8.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.78 1.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Sticker | Baby Howl sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-howl) Hidden $5.66 8.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Sticker | Banana sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-banana) [POSK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/POSK) $5.66 8.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.78 1.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Sticker | Banana sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-banana) Hidden $5.66 8.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.78 1.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-09 19:21 UTC [Sticker | Banana sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-banana) Hidden $5.66 8.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.78 1.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-09 19:21 UTC [Sticker | Banana sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-banana) Hidden $5.66 8.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.78 1.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-09 19:21 UTC [Sticker | Baby Howl sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-howl) Hidden $5.66 8.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-09 19:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.66 | 89.16% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.8% red 1.5% classified 1.7% high 50.0% #4b69ff 45.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.16 on average: an expected loss of $10.84 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt