--- title: "10er big hit stn242 case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10er big hit stn242 ($7.49) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.64% from 8 items with odds, observed 41.71% over 94 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/521 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10er big hit stn242](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/521) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10er big hit stn242 A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/521?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/521?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/521) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/521?window=all) Price · $7.49 · 11.79 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.64% · EV $6.64 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 41.71% · 94 openings, odds method Variance · 34.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 62 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 68 openings · below min 30 days · 94 openings · below min since tracking started · 94 openings · below min -0.5% 87.3% 175.0% **Small sample.** 94 openings and 1.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/521?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/521?window=7d) | 68 | 35.02% ±139.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/521) | 94 | 41.71% ±118.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/521?window=all) | 94 | 41.71% ±118.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 94 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,623 4,131 HUNT\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN | 10.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 400 | $401 632 HUNT\_COIN | 15.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Survival Knife knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife) | 1 in 80 | $154 242 HUNT\_COIN | 29.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN | 12.4% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.13× | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $37.23 58.63 HUNT\_COIN | 14.0% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.43× | | [Sticker \| fer (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fer-foil) | 1 in 23 | $20.29 31.95 HUNT\_COIN | 13.4% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| Separate Pixels sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-separate-pixels) | 90.0% | $0.12 0.19 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 86 | 84.6 | 1.02× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=521) [Sticker | Separate Pixels sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-separate-pixels) Hidden $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.12 0.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Sticker | Separate Pixels sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-separate-pixels) Hidden $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.12 0.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Sticker | Separate Pixels sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-separate-pixels) Hidden $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.12 0.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Sticker | Separate Pixels sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-separate-pixels) Hidden $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.12 0.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN 7.34x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Sticker | Separate Pixels sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-separate-pixels) [POSK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/POSK) $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.12 0.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Sticker | Separate Pixels sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-separate-pixels) Hidden $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.12 0.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 08:05 UTC [Sticker | Separate Pixels sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-separate-pixels) Hidden $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.12 0.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 08:05 UTC [Sticker | Separate Pixels sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-separate-pixels) Hidden $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.12 0.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 08:05 UTC [Sticker | Separate Pixels sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-separate-pixels) Hidden $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.12 0.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 08:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.49 | 88.64% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 0.0% rare 0.1% classified 0.3% Immortal 1.3% covert 4.0% other 4.4% high 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.64 on average: an expected loss of $11.36 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt