--- title: "Budget Flip case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Budget Flip ($36.27) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.38% from 11 items with odds, observed 87.87% over 737 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/523 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Budget Flip](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/523) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Budget Flip A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/523?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/523?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/523) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/523?window=all) Price · $36.27 · 57.12 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.38% · EV $31.69 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.87% · 737 openings, odds method Variance · 9.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 65.81% ±56.72 108 openings 7 days · 90.87% ±22.93 661 openings 30 days · 87.87% ±21.71 737 openings since tracking started · 87.87% ±21.71 737 openings 8.5% 65.8% 123.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/523?window=24h) | 108 | 65.81% ±56.7 | −0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/523?window=7d) | 661 | 90.87% ±22.9 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/523) | 737 | 87.87% ±21.7 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/523?window=all) | 737 | 87.87% ±21.7 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 737 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $1,111 1,750 HUNT\_COIN | 17.5% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $827 1,303 HUNT\_COIN | 13.0% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.09× | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $445 701 HUNT\_COIN | 14.0% | 10 | 7.4 | 1.36× | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $179 282 HUNT\_COIN | 16.9% | 17 | 22.1 | 0.77× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $44.44 70 HUNT\_COIN | 7.0% | 36 | 36.9 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $33.06 52.07 HUNT\_COIN | 10.4% | 72 | 73.7 | 0.98× | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 15.0% | $29.17 45.95 HUNT\_COIN | 13.8% | 129 | 110.5 | 1.17× | | [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 15.0% | $14.50 22.84 HUNT\_COIN | 6.9% | 106 | 110.5 | 0.96× | | [Souvenir G3SG1 \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.33 0.52 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 96 | 110.5 | 0.87× | | [Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.22 0.34 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 103 | 110.5 | 0.93× | | [Sticker \| Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) | 20.0% | $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 161 | 147.4 | 1.09× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $1,111 1,750 HUNT\_COIN 30.64x 2026-11-07 16:09 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $1,111 1,750 HUNT\_COIN 30.64x 2026-11-07 15:39 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $1,111 1,750 HUNT\_COIN 30.64x 2026-11-07 15:19 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $827 1,303 HUNT\_COIN 22.81x 2026-11-09 10:40 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $827 1,303 HUNT\_COIN 22.81x 2026-11-07 16:16 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $827 1,303 HUNT\_COIN 22.81x 2026-11-07 16:16 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $827 1,303 HUNT\_COIN 22.81x 2026-11-07 15:39 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=523) [R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $14.50 22.84 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) Hidden $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $29.17 45.95 HUNT\_COIN 0.80x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC [Souvenir G3SG1 | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.33 0.52 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) [Leva\_alt2](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Leva_alt2) $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $33.06 52.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.91x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC [Sticker | Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) Hidden $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:36 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $14.50 22.84 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 10:36 UTC [Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) Hidden $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:36 UTC [Sticker | Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) [Leva\_alt2](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Leva_alt2) $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:36 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $33.06 52.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.91x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC [Sticker | Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) Hidden $36.27 57.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $36.27 | 87.38% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 19.5% covert knife 0.5% restricted 5.0% mil spec 10.0% pink 15.0% Common 15.0% blue 15.0% #4b69ff 20.0% best hit $1,111 (30.64x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.38 on average: an expected loss of $12.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt