--- title: "Valentines case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Valentines ($43.25) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.67% from 8 items with odds, observed 91.49% over 160 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/525 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Valentines](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/525) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Valentines A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/525?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/525?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/525) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/525?window=all) Price · $43.25 · 68.12 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.67% · EV $38.35 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.49% · 160 openings, odds method Variance · 5.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 78.78% ±44.13 102 openings 30 days · 91.49% ±35.23 160 openings since tracking started · 91.49% ±35.23 160 openings -0.5% 74.8% 150.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/525?window=24h) | 24 | 58.38% ±91.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/525?window=7d) | 102 | 78.78% ±44.1 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/525) | 160 | 91.49% ±35.2 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/525?window=all) | 160 | 91.49% ±35.2 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 160 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $913 1,438 HUNT\_COIN | 23.8% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pink-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $421 663 HUNT\_COIN | 11.0% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.88× | | [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $81.71 129 HUNT\_COIN | 4.3% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.25× | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-pink-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $61.68 97.14 HUNT\_COIN | 9.6% | 11 | 9.6 | 1.15× | | [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-well-worn) | 20.0% | $47.92 75.48 HUNT\_COIN | 25.0% | 31 | 32.0 | 0.97× | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) | 20.0% | $24.01 37.81 HUNT\_COIN | 12.5% | 36 | 32.0 | 1.13× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pink-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $19.03 29.98 HUNT\_COIN | 12.4% | 38 | 40.0 | 0.95× | | [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $2.10 3.31 HUNT\_COIN | 1.4% | 36 | 40.0 | 0.90× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) [Hulk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hulk) $43.25 68.12 HUNT\_COIN $913 1,438 HUNT\_COIN 21.11x 2026-11-03 15:01 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=525) [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) Hidden $43.25 68.12 HUNT\_COIN $24.01 37.81 HUNT\_COIN 0.56x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC [AWP | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $43.25 68.12 HUNT\_COIN $47.92 75.48 HUNT\_COIN 1.11x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC [AWP | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $43.25 68.12 HUNT\_COIN $47.92 75.48 HUNT\_COIN 1.11x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC [AWP | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-well-worn) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $43.25 68.12 HUNT\_COIN $47.92 75.48 HUNT\_COIN 1.11x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) Hidden $43.25 68.12 HUNT\_COIN $24.01 37.81 HUNT\_COIN 0.56x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) Hidden $43.25 68.12 HUNT\_COIN $24.01 37.81 HUNT\_COIN 0.56x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) Hidden $43.25 68.12 HUNT\_COIN $2.10 3.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $43.25 68.12 HUNT\_COIN $24.01 37.81 HUNT\_COIN 0.56x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC [AWP | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $43.25 68.12 HUNT\_COIN $47.92 75.48 HUNT\_COIN 1.11x 2026-11-10 14:55 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) Hidden $43.25 68.12 HUNT\_COIN $2.10 3.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-10 14:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $43.25 | 88.67% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 1.0% Restricted 1.0% restricted 28.0% classified 20.0% #8847FF 25.0% pink 25.0% best hit $913 (21.11x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.67 on average: an expected loss of $11.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt