--- title: "Gold Gold GOLD case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Gold Gold GOLD ($102.13) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.67% from 17 items with odds, observed 49.25% over 151 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/528 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Gold Gold GOLD](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/528) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Gold Gold GOLD A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/528?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/528?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/528) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/528?window=all) Price · $102.13 · 161 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.67% · EV $90.56 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 49.25% · 151 openings, odds method Variance · 18.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 141 openings · below min 30 days · 151 openings · below min since tracking started · 151 openings · below min -0.5% 61.8% 124.0% **Small sample.** 151 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/528?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/528?window=7d) | 141 | 51.83% ±71.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/528) | 151 | 49.25% ±69.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/528?window=all) | 151 | 49.25% ±69.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 151 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $6,415 10,103 HUNT\_COIN | 17.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $4,236 6,672 HUNT\_COIN | 11.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $2,736 4,309 HUNT\_COIN | 7.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $2,597 4,091 HUNT\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $971 1,529 HUNT\_COIN | 10.7% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.32× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $451 711 HUNT\_COIN | 12.5% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.06× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $438 690 HUNT\_COIN | 12.1% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× | | [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $96.86 153 HUNT\_COIN | 3.7% | 10 | 5.3 | 1.89× | | [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $82.97 131 HUNT\_COIN | 3.2% | 2 | 5.3 | 0.38× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $76.39 120 HUNT\_COIN | 3.0% | 2 | 5.3 | 0.38× | | [AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $57.37 90.35 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.88× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $49.93 78.64 HUNT\_COIN | 2.8% | 8 | 7.6 | 1.06× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $35.77 56.33 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 5 | 7.6 | 0.66× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 15.0% | $18.41 28.99 HUNT\_COIN | 3.0% | 17 | 22.6 | 0.75× | | [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 16.0% | $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 29 | 24.2 | 1.20× | | [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-well-worn) | 17.0% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 32 | 25.7 | 1.25× | | [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 31 | 30.2 | 1.03× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $102 161 HUNT\_COIN $971 1,529 HUNT\_COIN 9.51x 2026-11-07 13:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $102 161 HUNT\_COIN $971 1,529 HUNT\_COIN 9.51x 2026-11-07 13:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=528) [AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) Hidden $102 161 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 20:53 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $102 161 HUNT\_COIN $18.41 28.99 HUNT\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-08 20:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $102 161 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 20:53 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $102 161 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 20:53 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $102 161 HUNT\_COIN $18.41 28.99 HUNT\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-07 20:32 UTC [AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-well-worn) Hidden $102 161 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 20:32 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $102 161 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 20:32 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $102 161 HUNT\_COIN $451 711 HUNT\_COIN 4.42x 2026-11-07 20:32 UTC [AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-well-worn) Hidden $102 161 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 20:30 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $102 161 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 20:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $102 | 88.67% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed knifes 0.3% covert 20.8% covert knife 1.0% epic 2.5% classified 2.5% mil spec 3.5% industrial 19.5% Classified 3.5% red 4.5% restricted 5.0% #5e98d9 17.0% Industrial Grade 20.0% best hit $971 (9.51x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.67 on average: an expected loss of $11.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt