--- title: "Old School case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Old School ($150.90) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.67% from 9 items with odds, observed 157.26% over 28 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/533 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Old School](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/533) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Old School A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/533?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/533?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/533) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/533?window=all) Price · $150.90 · 238 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.67% · EV $133.80 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 157.26% · 28 openings, odds method Variance · 6.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 28 openings · below min since tracking started · 28 openings · below min 32.5% 252.8% 473.0% **Small sample.** 28 openings and 1.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/533?window=24h) | 6 | 230.10% ±197.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/533?window=7d) | 12 | 332.88% ±139.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/533) | 28 | 157.26% ±91.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/533?window=all) | 28 | 157.26% ±91.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,993 3,139 HUNT\_COIN | 14.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,972 3,106 HUNT\_COIN | 29.5% | 3 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $964 1,518 HUNT\_COIN | 21.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $438 690 HUNT\_COIN | 13.1% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-hypnotic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $196 309 HUNT\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $102 160 HUNT\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $95.14 150 HUNT\_COIN | 3.6% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.71× | | [MP7 \| Skulls (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $27.78 43.76 HUNT\_COIN | 6.2% | 7 | 8.4 | 0.83× | | [AUG \| Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) | 45.0% | $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 16 | 12.6 | 1.27× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $151 238 HUNT\_COIN $1,972 3,106 HUNT\_COIN 13.07x 2026-11-10 16:16 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $151 238 HUNT\_COIN $1,972 3,106 HUNT\_COIN 13.07x 2026-11-06 18:23 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $151 238 HUNT\_COIN $1,972 3,106 HUNT\_COIN 13.07x 2026-11-06 18:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=533) [MP7 | Skulls (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-minimal-wear) Hidden $151 238 HUNT\_COIN $27.78 43.76 HUNT\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-10 16:16 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) Hidden $151 238 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 16:16 UTC [MP7 | Skulls (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-minimal-wear) Hidden $151 238 HUNT\_COIN $27.78 43.76 HUNT\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-10 16:16 UTC [MP7 | Skulls (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-minimal-wear) Hidden $151 238 HUNT\_COIN $27.78 43.76 HUNT\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-10 16:16 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $151 238 HUNT\_COIN $1,972 3,106 HUNT\_COIN 13.07x 2026-11-10 16:16 UTC [MP7 | Skulls (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-minimal-wear) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $151 238 HUNT\_COIN $27.78 43.76 HUNT\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-10 16:16 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) Hidden $151 238 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:23 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) Hidden $151 238 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:23 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $151 238 HUNT\_COIN $1,972 3,106 HUNT\_COIN 13.07x 2026-11-06 18:23 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) Hidden $151 238 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $151 | 88.67% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 6.0% classified 9.0% restricted 10.0% blue 30.0% industrial 45.0% best hit $1,972 (13.07x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.67 on average: an expected loss of $11.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt