--- title: "Wingman case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Wingman ($8.43) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.70% from 10 items with odds, observed 81.09% over 399 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/534 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Wingman](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/534) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Wingman A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/534?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/534?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/534) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/534?window=all) Price · $8.43 · 13.27 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.70% · EV $7.47 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.09% · 399 openings, odds method Variance · 4.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 79.84% ±23.39 319 openings 30 days · 81.09% ±20.91 399 openings since tracking started · 81.09% ±20.91 399 openings -0.5% 92.3% 185.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/534?window=24h) | 20 | 91.09% ±93.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/534?window=7d) | 319 | 79.84% ±23.4 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/534) | 399 | 81.09% ±20.9 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/534?window=all) | 399 | 81.09% ±20.9 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 399 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $111 175 HUNT\_COIN | 14.9% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $62.22 98 HUNT\_COIN | 16.7% | 6 | 8.0 | 0.75× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $44.44 70 HUNT\_COIN | 20.8% | 22 | 14.0 | 1.58× | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $39.86 62.78 HUNT\_COIN | 18.7% | 7 | 14.0 | 0.50× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $30.83 48.56 HUNT\_COIN | 20.6% | 16 | 20.0 | 0.80× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $10.43 16.42 HUNT\_COIN | 7.0% | 22 | 20.0 | 1.10× | | [M4A4 \| Steel Work (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.32 0.51 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 54 | 59.8 | 0.90× | | [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-well-worn) | 15.0% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 52 | 59.8 | 0.87× | | [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 115 | 99.8 | 1.15× | | [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 25.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 102 | 99.8 | 1.02× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=534) [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $8.43 13.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-well-worn) Hidden $8.43 13.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.43 13.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.43 13.27 HUNT\_COIN $30.83 48.56 HUNT\_COIN 3.66x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-well-worn) Hidden $8.43 13.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.43 13.27 HUNT\_COIN $39.86 62.78 HUNT\_COIN 4.73x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.43 13.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 23:50 UTC [M4A4 | Steel Work (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.43 13.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.32 0.51 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 23:50 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $8.43 13.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 23:50 UTC [AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-well-worn) Hidden $8.43 13.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.43 | 88.70% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 1.0% Covert 2.0% restricted 3.5% covert 3.5% rare 5.0% Classified 5.0% #5e98d9 30.0% Industrial Grade 25.0% industrial 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.70 on average: an expected loss of $11.30 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt