--- title: "Radioactive case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Radioactive ($38.49) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.68% from 11 items with odds, observed 98.14% over 211 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/543 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Radioactive](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/543) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Radioactive A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/543?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/543?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/543) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/543?window=all) Price · $38.49 · 60.62 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.68% · EV $34.13 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.14% · 211 openings, odds method Variance · 7.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 28 openings · below min 7 days · 109.72% ±44.37 147 openings 30 days · 98.14% ±37.04 211 openings since tracking started · 98.14% ±37.04 211 openings 60.5% 178.3% 296.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/543?window=24h) | 28 | 193.75% ±101.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/543?window=7d) | 147 | 109.72% ±44.4 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/543) | 211 | 98.14% ±37.0 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/543?window=all) | 211 | 98.14% ±37.0 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 211 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,080 1,701 HUNT\_COIN | 15.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.95× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $608 958 HUNT\_COIN | 8.9% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $521 820 HUNT\_COIN | 15.3% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.42× | | [AWP \| Green Energy (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $183 289 HUNT\_COIN | 10.7% | 8 | 4.2 | 1.90× | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $133 210 HUNT\_COIN | 13.7% | 5 | 7.4 | 0.68× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $79.78 126 HUNT\_COIN | 10.5% | 15 | 9.5 | 1.58× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $61.11 96.25 HUNT\_COIN | 14.3% | 20 | 16.9 | 1.18× | | [SCAR-20 \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) | 10.0% | $21.80 34.34 HUNT\_COIN | 6.4% | 22 | 21.1 | 1.04× | | [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) | 20.0% | $3.43 5.41 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 44 | 42.2 | 1.04× | | [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) | 25.0% | $2.99 4.71 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 45 | 52.8 | 0.85× | | [Sticker \| Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) | 25.0% | $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 48 | 52.8 | 0.91× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $38.49 60.62 HUNT\_COIN $1,080 1,701 HUNT\_COIN 28.06x 2026-11-10 14:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.49 60.62 HUNT\_COIN $521 820 HUNT\_COIN 13.53x 2026-11-08 22:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.49 60.62 HUNT\_COIN $521 820 HUNT\_COIN 13.53x 2026-11-08 22:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.49 60.62 HUNT\_COIN $521 820 HUNT\_COIN 13.53x 2026-11-07 12:41 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=543) [Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.49 60.62 HUNT\_COIN $133 210 HUNT\_COIN 3.46x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) Hidden $38.49 60.62 HUNT\_COIN $3.43 5.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [SCAR-20 | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $38.49 60.62 HUNT\_COIN $21.80 34.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.57x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $38.49 60.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) Hidden $38.49 60.62 HUNT\_COIN $3.43 5.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC [Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.49 60.62 HUNT\_COIN $133 210 HUNT\_COIN 3.46x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $38.49 60.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $38.49 60.62 HUNT\_COIN $79.78 126 HUNT\_COIN 2.07x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) Hidden $38.49 60.62 HUNT\_COIN $61.11 96.25 HUNT\_COIN 1.59x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) Hidden $38.49 60.62 HUNT\_COIN $61.11 96.25 HUNT\_COIN 1.59x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $38.49 | 88.68% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 1.5% extraordinary 8.5% rare 2.0% mil spec 3.5% red 4.5% restricted 35.0% #4b69ff 20.0% Rare 25.0% best hit $1,080 (28.06x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.68 on average: an expected loss of $11.32 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt