--- title: "Warfare case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Warfare ($63.70) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.67% from 12 items with odds, observed 96.10% over 127 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/544 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Warfare](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/544) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Warfare A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/544?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/544?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/544) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/544?window=all) Price · $63.70 · 100 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.67% · EV $56.48 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.10% · 127 openings, odds method Variance · 5.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 65 openings · below min 30 days · 96.10% ±41.96 127 openings since tracking started · 96.10% ±41.96 127 openings 48.5% 107.7% 167.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/544?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/544?window=7d) | 65 | 107.78% ±58.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/544) | 127 | 96.10% ±42.0 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/544?window=all) | 127 | 96.10% ±42.0 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 127 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $972 1,531 HUNT\_COIN | 17.2% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.36× | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $708 1,116 HUNT\_COIN | 18.8% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $403 634 HUNT\_COIN | 17.8% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.26× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $362 571 HUNT\_COIN | 16.0% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.31× | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $271 427 HUNT\_COIN | 12.0% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $97.23 153 HUNT\_COIN | 7.7% | 8 | 5.7 | 1.40× | | [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $54.44 85.75 HUNT\_COIN | 7.2% | 6 | 9.5 | 0.63× | | [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-field-tested) | 10.0% | $6.85 10.79 HUNT\_COIN | 1.2% | 18 | 12.7 | 1.42× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 13.0% | $3.75 5.91 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 18 | 16.5 | 1.09× | | [Sticker \| Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $3.44 5.42 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 17 | 19.1 | 0.89× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-warhawk-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 23 | 25.4 | 0.91× | | [Sticker \| Clicking Heads sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clicking-heads) | 20.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 25 | 25.4 | 0.98× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $63.70 100 HUNT\_COIN $972 1,531 HUNT\_COIN 15.26x 2026-11-07 22:15 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $63.70 100 HUNT\_COIN $972 1,531 HUNT\_COIN 15.26x 2026-11-06 20:45 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $63.70 100 HUNT\_COIN $972 1,531 HUNT\_COIN 15.26x 2026-11-03 22:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $63.70 100 HUNT\_COIN $708 1,116 HUNT\_COIN 11.12x 2026-11-07 12:44 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=544) [SSG 08 | Death's Head (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-field-tested) Hidden $63.70 100 HUNT\_COIN $6.85 10.79 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-10 14:48 UTC [Sticker | Clicking Heads sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clicking-heads) Hidden $63.70 100 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 14:48 UTC [Sticker | Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) Hidden $63.70 100 HUNT\_COIN $3.44 5.42 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-10 14:48 UTC [Sticker | Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $63.70 100 HUNT\_COIN $3.44 5.42 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-10 14:48 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-warhawk-well-worn) Hidden $63.70 100 HUNT\_COIN $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 20:35 UTC [Sticker | Clicking Heads sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clicking-heads) [dwiauhdas](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/dwiauhdas) $63.70 100 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 20:35 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-warhawk-well-worn) Hidden $63.70 100 HUNT\_COIN $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 22:28 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $63.70 100 HUNT\_COIN $3.75 5.91 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-07 22:28 UTC [Sticker | Clicking Heads sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clicking-heads) Hidden $63.70 100 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 22:28 UTC [SSG 08 | Death's Head (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-field-tested) Hidden $63.70 100 HUNT\_COIN $6.85 10.79 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-07 22:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $63.70 | 88.67% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 11.0% covert 6.5% knifes 4.5% restricted 10.0% milspec 13.0% violet 15.0% mil spec 20.0% Rare 20.0% best hit $972 (15.26x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.67 on average: an expected loss of $11.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt