--- title: "Budget Dreamer case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Budget Dreamer ($7.37) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.66% from 8 items with odds, observed 354.47% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/557 rendered: 2026-11-11T18:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Budget Dreamer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/557) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Budget Dreamer A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/557?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/557?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/557) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/557?window=all) Price · $7.37 · 11.6 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.66% · EV $6.53 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 354.47% · 6 openings, sample method Variance · 4.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min 23.0% 354.5% 686.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/557?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/557?window=7d) | 6 | 354.47% ±330.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/557) | 6 | 354.47% ±330.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/557?window=all) | 6 | 354.47% ±330.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $61.77 97.29 HUNT\_COIN | 47.3% | 2 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $33.06 52.07 HUNT\_COIN | 25.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $13.89 21.88 HUNT\_COIN | 10.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $12.43 19.57 HUNT\_COIN | 9.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Tropical Storm (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-tropical-storm-well-worn) | 10.0% | $3.89 6.13 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [MP9 \| Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $0.53 0.84 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [P90 \| Freight (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.23 0.37 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 50.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=557) [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) Hidden $7.37 11.6 HUNT\_COIN $61.77 97.29 HUNT\_COIN 8.39x 2026-11-06 03:39 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $7.37 11.6 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 03:39 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $7.37 11.6 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 03:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) Hidden $7.37 11.6 HUNT\_COIN $61.77 97.29 HUNT\_COIN 8.39x 2026-11-06 03:39 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $7.37 11.6 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 03:39 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) [MrPotatoHeadTheOG](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/MrPotatoHeadTheOG) $7.37 11.6 HUNT\_COIN $33.06 52.07 HUNT\_COIN 4.49x 2026-11-06 03:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 10 Nov, 14:05 UTC | $7.37 | 88.66% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 5.0% mil spec 15.0% covert 5.0% classified 5.0% other 10.0% Rare 10.0% Consumer Grade 50.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.66 on average: an expected loss of $11.34 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt