--- title: "Sawed Off case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Sawed Off ($5.17) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.66% from 9 items with odds, observed 142.96% over 30 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/567 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Sawed Off](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/567) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Sawed Off A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/567?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/567?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/567) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/567?window=all) Price · $5.17 · 8.14 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.66% · EV $4.58 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 142.96% · 30 openings, odds method Variance · 6.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min 53.0% 143.0% 233.0% **Small sample.** 30 openings and 1.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/567?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/567?window=7d) | 30 | 142.96% ±89.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/567) | 30 | 142.96% ±89.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/567?window=all) | 30 | 142.96% ±89.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-snake-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN | 30.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $45.14 71.1 HUNT\_COIN | 29.6% | 3 | 0.9 | — | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $24.01 37.81 HUNT\_COIN | 26.2% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $2.01 3.17 HUNT\_COIN | 3.3% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× | | [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Rust Coat (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-rust-coat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $1.37 2.16 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× | | [Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-well-worn) | 10.0% | $1.25 1.97 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× | | [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-snake-camo-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $1.23 1.93 HUNT\_COIN | 4.0% | 6 | 4.5 | 1.33× | | [Sawed-Off \| Yorick (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-yorick-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $0.29 0.46 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 12 | 7.5 | 1.60× | | [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 4 | 7.5 | 0.53× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=567) [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-rust-coat-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.17 8.14 HUNT\_COIN $1.37 2.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.27x 2026-11-06 19:59 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $5.17 8.14 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 19:59 UTC [Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-yorick-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.17 8.14 HUNT\_COIN $0.29 0.46 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-06 19:59 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $5.17 8.14 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 19:59 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-snake-camo-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.17 8.14 HUNT\_COIN $1.23 1.93 HUNT\_COIN 0.24x 2026-11-06 19:59 UTC [Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-yorick-minimal-wear) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $5.17 8.14 HUNT\_COIN $0.29 0.46 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-06 19:59 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $5.17 8.14 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 19:58 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-snake-camo-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.17 8.14 HUNT\_COIN $1.23 1.93 HUNT\_COIN 0.24x 2026-11-06 19:58 UTC [Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-yorick-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.17 8.14 HUNT\_COIN $0.29 0.46 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-06 19:58 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-snake-camo-factory-new) Hidden $5.17 8.14 HUNT\_COIN $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN 13.44x 2026-11-06 19:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.17 | 88.66% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Industrial Grade 17.0% #eb4b4b 3.0% classified 12.5% industrial 7.5% violet 10.0% mil spec 25.0% Common 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.66 on average: an expected loss of $11.34 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt