---
title: "Private Jet case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Private Jet ($10.81) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.37% from 8 items with odds, observed 91.80% over 423 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/578
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:43Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Private Jet](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/578)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Private Jet

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/578?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/578?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/578) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/578?window=all)

Price · $10.81 · 17.02 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 87.37% · EV $9.44 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.80% · 423 openings, odds method

Variance · 43.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 115 openings · below min

30 days · 423 openings · below min

since tracking started · 423 openings · below min

-0.5% 263.8% 528.0%

**Small sample.** 423 openings and 4.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/578?window=24h) | 6 | 1.35% ±526.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/578?window=7d) | 115 | 39.49% ±120.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/578) | 423 | 91.80% ±62.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/578?window=all) | 423 | 91.80% ±62.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 423 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $708 1,116 HUNT\_COIN | 75.0% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $76.04 120 HUNT\_COIN | 8.1% | 10 | 4.2 | 2.36× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $56.67 89.26 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $48.33 76.12 HUNT\_COIN | 5.1% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× |
| [P250 \| Splash (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $29.03 45.73 HUNT\_COIN | 3.1% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.18× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $7.98 12.57 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× |
| [P2000 \| Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $4.17 6.57 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 1 | 4.2 | 0.24× |
| [Sticker \| Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) | 93.0% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN | 1.4% | 393 | 393.4 | 1.00× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.81 17.02 HUNT\_COIN $708 1,116 HUNT\_COIN 65.55x 2026-11-04 06:20 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.81 17.02 HUNT\_COIN $708 1,116 HUNT\_COIN 65.55x 2026-11-04 06:20 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.81 17.02 HUNT\_COIN $708 1,116 HUNT\_COIN 65.55x 2026-11-04 04:26 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $10.81 17.02 HUNT\_COIN $708 1,116 HUNT\_COIN 65.55x 2026-11-03 22:32 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=578)

[Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $10.81 17.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC

[Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $10.81 17.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC

[Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $10.81 17.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC

[Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $10.81 17.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC

[Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $10.81 17.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC

[Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $10.81 17.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC

[Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $10.81 17.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC

[Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $10.81 17.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC

[Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $10.81 17.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC

[Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $10.81 17.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.81 | 87.37% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 2.0% restricted 2.0% red 1.0% mil spec 1.0% Rare 1.0% #4b69ff 93.0% best hit $708 (65.55x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.37 on average: an expected loss of $12.63 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
