--- title: "Gold Star case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gold Star ($24.70) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.36% from 9 items with odds, observed 9.30% over 14 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/579 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Gold Star](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/579) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Gold Star A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/579?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/579?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/579) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/579?window=all) Price · $24.70 · 38.91 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.36% · EV $21.58 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 9.30% · 14 openings, odds method Variance · 40.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 125 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 14 openings · below min 30 days · 14 openings · below min since tracking started · 14 openings · below min -0.5% 171.0% 342.5% **Small sample.** 14 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/579?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/579?window=7d) | 14 | 9.30% ±332.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/579) | 14 | 9.30% ±332.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/579?window=all) | 14 | 9.30% ±332.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $2,236 3,522 HUNT\_COIN | 31.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,264 1,991 HUNT\_COIN | 29.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) | 1 in 118 | $416 656 HUNT\_COIN | 16.4% | 13 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $214 336 HUNT\_COIN | 9.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-foil) | 1 in 100 | $123 194 HUNT\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $32.01 50.41 HUNT\_COIN | 3.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [P90 \| Blind Spot (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $13.66 21.52 HUNT\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8.06 12.7 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) | 85.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 13 | 11.9 | 1.09× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=579) [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $24.70 38.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:47 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $24.70 38.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:47 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $24.70 38.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:47 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $24.70 38.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:47 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $24.70 38.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:47 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) [Kirua](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Kirua) $24.70 38.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:47 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $24.70 38.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:07 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) [Kirua](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Kirua) $24.70 38.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:07 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $24.70 38.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:07 UTC [P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) Hidden $24.70 38.91 HUNT\_COIN $32.01 50.41 HUNT\_COIN 1.30x 2026-11-09 17:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $24.70 | 87.36% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.8% other 86.8% violet 4.3% Restricted 5.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.36 on average: an expected loss of $12.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt