--- title: "PH 5% benger case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "PH 5% benger ($5.43) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.91% from 6 items with odds, observed 35.70% over 207 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/587 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [PH 5% benger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/587) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · PH 5% benger A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/587?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/587?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/587) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/587?window=all) Price · $5.43 · 8.56 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.91% · EV $4.83 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 35.70% · 207 openings, odds method Variance · 21.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 201 openings · below min 30 days · 207 openings · below min since tracking started · 207 openings · below min -0.5% 131.8% 264.0% **Small sample.** 207 openings and 3.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/587?window=24h) | 12 | 1.17% ±262.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/587?window=7d) | 201 | 36.73% ±64.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/587) | 207 | 35.70% ±63.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/587?window=all) | 207 | 35.70% ±63.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 207 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $324 510 HUNT\_COIN | 13.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-panthera-onca-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $208 328 HUNT\_COIN | 12.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $137 215 HUNT\_COIN | 28.3% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× | | [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $65.97 104 HUNT\_COIN | 27.3% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.72× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $54.17 85.32 HUNT\_COIN | 16.8% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× | | [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 95.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN | 1.2% | 202 | 196.6 | 1.03× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=587) [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $5.43 8.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $5.43 8.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $5.43 8.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $5.43 8.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $5.43 8.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) [POSK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/POSK) $5.43 8.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $5.43 8.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $5.43 8.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $5.43 8.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $5.43 8.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.43 | 88.91% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.2% Legendary 0.3% covert 2.5% pink 2.0% industrial 95.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.91 on average: an expected loss of $11.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt