--- title: "Tero case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Tero ($3.92) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.25% from 12 items with odds, observed 75.67% over 298 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/595 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Tero](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/595) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Tero A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/595?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/595?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/595) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/595?window=all) Price · $3.92 · 6.18 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.25% · EV $3.42 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 75.67% · 298 openings, odds method Variance · 23.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 30 openings · below min 7 days · 82 openings · below min 30 days · 298 openings · below min since tracking started · 298 openings · below min -0.5% 105.0% 210.5% **Small sample.** 298 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/595?window=24h) | 30 | 38.19% ±171.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/595?window=7d) | 82 | 31.82% ±103.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/595) | 298 | 75.67% ±54.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/595?window=all) | 298 | 75.67% ±54.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 298 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $238 375 HUNT\_COIN | 34.8% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× | | [★ Navaja Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife) | 1 in 200 | $115 181 HUNT\_COIN | 16.8% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× | | [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $22.22 35 HUNT\_COIN | 13.0% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.34× | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Virus (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-virus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $7.99 12.59 HUNT\_COIN | 4.7% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.84× | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $7.98 12.57 HUNT\_COIN | 4.7% | 6 | 6.0 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| Dragon Lore (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-lore-foil) | 1 in 50 | $7.58 11.94 HUNT\_COIN | 4.4% | 6 | 6.0 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $3.44 5.42 HUNT\_COIN | 5.0% | 14 | 14.9 | 0.94× | | [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $3.43 5.41 HUNT\_COIN | 5.0% | 16 | 14.9 | 1.07× | | [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Cobalt Halftone (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-cobalt-halftone-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $3.40 5.36 HUNT\_COIN | 5.0% | 15 | 14.9 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-torque-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN | 3.2% | 17 | 14.9 | 1.14× | | [G3SG1 \| Azure Zebra (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $2.20 3.47 HUNT\_COIN | 3.2% | 12 | 14.9 | 0.81× | | [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) | 66.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 197 | 196.7 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.92 6.18 HUNT\_COIN $238 375 HUNT\_COIN 60.67x 2026-11-04 05:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=595) [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.92 6.18 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:13 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.92 6.18 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:13 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.92 6.18 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:13 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.92 6.18 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:13 UTC [G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.92 6.18 HUNT\_COIN $2.20 3.47 HUNT\_COIN 0.56x 2026-11-10 23:13 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) [z30cutie](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/z30cutie) $3.92 6.18 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:13 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.92 6.18 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:12 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.92 6.18 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:12 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.92 6.18 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:12 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.92 6.18 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.92 | 87.25% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.5% covert 0.5% Mythical 2.0% restricted 2.0% mil spec 7.0% exotic 2.0% violet 5.0% #4b69ff 5.0% Mil Spec Grade 5.0% milspec 5.0% other 66.0% best hit $238 (60.67x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.25 on average: an expected loss of $12.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt