---
title: "Hunter1 case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Hunter1 ($2.19) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.58% from 16 items with odds, observed 7.54% over 235 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/602
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Hunter1](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/602)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Hunter1

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/602?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/602?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/602) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/602?window=all)

Price · $2.19 · 3.45 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 88.58% · EV $1.94 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 7.54% · 235 openings, odds method

Variance · 1277.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 5,000 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 76 openings · below min

7 days · 229 openings · below min

30 days · 235 openings · below min

since tracking started · 235 openings · below min

-0.5% 405.7% 812.0%

**Small sample.** 235 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/602?window=24h) | 76 | 7.54% ±803.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/602?window=7d) | 229 | 7.54% ±463.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/602) | 235 | 7.54% ±457.1 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/602?window=all) | 235 | 7.54% ±457.1 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 235 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,250 9,844 HUNT\_COIN | 32.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Titan sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,472 5,469 HUNT\_COIN | 17.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,546 4,010 HUNT\_COIN | 13.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,055 1,662 HUNT\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,012 1,595 HUNT\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $625 984 HUNT\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $610 960 HUNT\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $583 919 HUNT\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $397 626 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $396 623 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $392 618 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $115 181 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $115 181 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife) | 1 in 10,000 | $115 181 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $70.83 112 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 99.9% | $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN | 8.5% | 235 | 234.6 | 1.00× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=602)

[AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.19 3.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 10:47 UTC

[AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.19 3.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 10:47 UTC

[AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.19 3.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 10:47 UTC

[AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.19 3.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 10:47 UTC

[AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $2.19 3.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 10:47 UTC

[AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) [Leva\_alt2](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Leva_alt2) $2.19 3.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 10:47 UTC

[AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.19 3.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.19 3.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.19 3.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $2.19 3.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.19 | 88.58% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% other 0.0% covert knife 0.0% legendary 0.0% classified 0.0% restricted 0.0% Classified 0.0% rare 0.0% industrial 99.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.58 on average: an expected loss of $11.42 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt