--- title: "Damila my nig case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Damila my nig ($39.37) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.37% from 7 items with odds, observed 178.73% over 17 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/605 rendered: 2026-11-11T16:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Damila my nig](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/605) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Damila my nig A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/605?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/605?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/605) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/605?window=all) Price · $39.37 · 62.01 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.37% · EV $34.40 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 178.73% · 17 openings, sample method Variance · 4.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 17 openings · below min 30 days · 17 openings · below min since tracking started · 17 openings · below min 60.0% 178.8% 297.5% **Small sample.** 17 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/605?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/605?window=7d) | 17 | 178.73% ±118.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/605) | 17 | 178.73% ±118.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/605?window=all) | 17 | 178.73% ±118.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $326 514 HUNT\_COIN | 19.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $326 514 HUNT\_COIN | 16.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $229 361 HUNT\_COIN | 16.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $179 282 HUNT\_COIN | 15.6% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $146 230 HUNT\_COIN | 12.7% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $110 173 HUNT\_COIN | 19.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.96× | | [Sticker \| Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) | 81.8% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 10 | 13.9 | 0.72× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=605) [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $39.37 62.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 08:09 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $39.37 62.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 08:09 UTC [M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-factory-new) Hidden $39.37 62.01 HUNT\_COIN $179 282 HUNT\_COIN 4.54x 2026-11-07 08:09 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $39.37 62.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 08:09 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $39.37 62.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 08:09 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $39.37 62.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 03:54 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $39.37 62.01 HUNT\_COIN $110 173 HUNT\_COIN 2.78x 2026-11-06 03:54 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) Hidden $39.37 62.01 HUNT\_COIN $146 230 HUNT\_COIN 3.70x 2026-11-06 03:54 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $39.37 62.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 03:54 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $39.37 62.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 03:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 10 Nov, 14:05 UTC | $39.37 | 87.37% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.0% classified 1.8% covert knife 8.5% pink 3.0% extraordinary 3.0% #4b69ff 81.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.37 on average: an expected loss of $12.63 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt