--- title: "dreamssss case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "dreamssss ($1,001.78) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.38% from 10 items with odds, observed 218.69% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/607 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [dreamssss](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/607) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · dreamssss A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/607?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/607?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/607) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/607?window=all) Price · $1,001.78 · 1,578 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.38% · EV $875.34 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 218.69% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 7.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min 6.0% 218.5% 431.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/607?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/607?window=7d) | 6 | 218.69% ±211.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/607) | 6 | 218.69% ±211.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/607?window=all) | 6 | 218.69% ±211.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $48.6K 76,561 HUNT\_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $17.1K 26,979 HUNT\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo) | 1 in 200 | $9,444 14,875 HUNT\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $6,250 9,844 HUNT\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $5,555 8,750 HUNT\_COIN | 6.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $4,014 6,322 HUNT\_COIN | 9.2% | 2 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $2,840 4,473 HUNT\_COIN | 16.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1,543 2,430 HUNT\_COIN | 17.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 20.0% | $639 1,006 HUNT\_COIN | 14.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 60.0% | $95.14 150 HUNT\_COIN | 6.5% | 1 | 3.6 | 0.28× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,002 1,578 HUNT\_COIN $4,014 6,322 HUNT\_COIN 4.01x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,002 1,578 HUNT\_COIN $4,014 6,322 HUNT\_COIN 4.01x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) [DameTime](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DameTime) $1,002 1,578 HUNT\_COIN $2,840 4,473 HUNT\_COIN 2.84x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,002 1,578 HUNT\_COIN $1,543 2,430 HUNT\_COIN 1.54x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $1,002 1,578 HUNT\_COIN $639 1,006 HUNT\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=607) [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,002 1,578 HUNT\_COIN $1,543 2,430 HUNT\_COIN 1.54x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,002 1,578 HUNT\_COIN $4,014 6,322 HUNT\_COIN 4.01x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,002 1,578 HUNT\_COIN $95.14 150 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $1,002 1,578 HUNT\_COIN $639 1,006 HUNT\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,002 1,578 HUNT\_COIN $4,014 6,322 HUNT\_COIN 4.01x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) [DameTime](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DameTime) $1,002 1,578 HUNT\_COIN $2,840 4,473 HUNT\_COIN 2.84x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,002 | 87.38% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.5% other 0.5% covert 17.0% legendary 2.0% #ffd700 20.0% restricted 60.0% best hit $4,014 (4.01x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.38 on average: an expected loss of $12.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt