--- title: "Small Come Up 27% case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Small Come Up 27% ($0.20) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.94% from 2 items with odds, observed 87.79% over 492 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/615 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Small Come Up 27%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/615) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Small Come Up 27% A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/615?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/615?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/615) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/615?window=all) Price · $0.20 · 0.32 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.94% · EV $0.18 from 2 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.79% · 492 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 87.54% ±12.09 486 openings 30 days · 87.79% ±12.01 492 openings since tracking started · 87.79% ±12.01 492 openings -0.5% 50.0% 100.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/615?window=24h) | 20 | 36.88% ±59.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/615?window=7d) | 486 | 87.54% ±12.1 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/615) | 492 | 87.79% ±12.0 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/615?window=all) | 492 | 87.79% ±12.0 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 492 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) | 27.0% | $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN | 94.9% | 131 | 132.8 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) | 73.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 5.1% | 361 | 359.2 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=615) [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 23:25 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 23:25 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 23:25 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 23:25 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 23:25 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) [3.14\_2Shok](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/3.14_2Shok) $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 23:25 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 23:24 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN 3.13x 2026-11-10 23:24 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 23:24 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 23:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.20 | 88.94% | 2 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed violet 27.0% other 73.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.94 on average: an expected loss of $11.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt