--- title: "beefy free case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "beefy free ($1.21) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.38% from 7 items with odds, observed 106.91% over 400 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/662 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [beefy free](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/662) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · beefy free A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/662?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/662?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/662) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/662?window=all) Price · $1.21 · 1.91 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.38% · EV $1.06 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 106.91% · 400 openings, odds method Variance · 45.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 80 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 50 openings · below min 7 days · 370 openings · below min 30 days · 106.91% ±66.34 400 openings since tracking started · 106.91% ±66.34 400 openings -0.5% 132.8% 266.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/662?window=24h) | 50 | 77.65% ±187.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/662?window=7d) | 370 | 113.83% ±69.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/662) | 400 | 106.91% ±66.3 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/662?window=all) | 400 | 106.91% ±66.3 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 400 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $255 402 HUNT\_COIN | 12.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Crakow! (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $123 193 HUNT\_COIN | 11.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AWP \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 286 | $54.65 86.08 HUNT\_COIN | 18.1% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.71× | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $26.79 42.2 HUNT\_COIN | 19.0% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× | | [Sticker \| fer (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fer-foil) | 1 in 67 | $15.77 24.83 HUNT\_COIN | 22.3% | 6 | 6.0 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Battle Scarred (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred-holo) | 1 in 44 | $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN | 15.9% | 11 | 9.0 | 1.22× | | [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) | 95.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 380 | 380.0 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.21 1.91 HUNT\_COIN $255 402 HUNT\_COIN 210.6x 2026-11-06 07:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=662) [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.21 1.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:00 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.21 1.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:00 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.21 1.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:00 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.21 1.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:00 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.21 1.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:00 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $1.21 1.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:00 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.21 1.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.21 1.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.21 1.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.21 1.91 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.21 | 87.38% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% rare 0.1% red 0.3% Mythical 3.0% other 96.5% best hit $255 (210.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.38 on average: an expected loss of $12.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt