--- title: "faded of green case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "faded of green ($2.74) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.63% from 7 items with odds, observed 9.79% over 40 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/664 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [faded of green](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/664) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · faded of green A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/664?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/664?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/664) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/664?window=all) Price · $2.74 · 4.31 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.63% · EV $2.43 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 9.79% · 40 openings, odds method Variance · 19.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 47 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 40 openings · below min 30 days · 40 openings · below min since tracking started · 40 openings · below min -0.5% 73.5% 147.5% **Small sample.** 40 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/664?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/664?window=7d) | 40 | 9.79% ±137.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/664) | 40 | 9.79% ±137.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/664?window=all) | 40 | 9.79% ±137.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 40 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $271 427 HUNT\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $165 260 HUNT\_COIN | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $61.11 96.25 HUNT\_COIN | 50.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $19.91 31.36 HUNT\_COIN | 24.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir Nova \| Green Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-green-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $8.04 12.67 HUNT\_COIN | 10.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [Sticker \| Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) | 10.0% | $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.00× | | [Zeus x27 \| Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) | 81.8% | $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN | 1.7% | 35 | 32.7 | 1.07× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=664) [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 18:21 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 18:21 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 18:21 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $2.74 4.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-06 18:21 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $2.74 4.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-06 18:21 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) [Diisel](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Diisel) $2.74 4.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-06 18:21 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 18:20 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 18:20 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 18:20 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 18:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.74 | 88.63% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% Covert 0.1% extraordinary 2.0% blue 3.0% Industrial Grade 3.0% Rare 10.0% Common 81.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.63 on average: an expected loss of $11.37 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt