--- title: "1% Gold Dream case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1% Gold Dream ($5.68) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.30% from 4 items with odds, observed 216.72% over 496 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/671 rendered: 2026-11-11T12:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [1% Gold Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/671) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 1% Gold Dream A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/671?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/671?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/671) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/671?window=all) Price · $5.68 · 8.94 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.30% · EV $4.96 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 216.72% · 496 openings, odds method Variance · 180.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 200 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 232 openings · below min 30 days · 496 openings · below min since tracking started · 496 openings · below min -0.5% 310.0% 620.5% **Small sample.** 496 openings and 2.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/671?window=24h) | 18 | 0.22% ±619.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/671?window=7d) | 232 | 267.60% ±172.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/671) | 496 | 216.72% ±118.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/671?window=all) | 496 | 216.72% ±118.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 496 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,236 3,522 HUNT\_COIN | 45.1% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $338 533 HUNT\_COIN | 27.3% | 4 | 2.0 | 2.02× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $271 427 HUNT\_COIN | 27.3% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× | | [Sticker \| NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) | 99.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 489 | 491.0 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $2,236 3,522 HUNT\_COIN 393.9x 2026-11-06 17:17 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $2,236 3,522 HUNT\_COIN 393.9x 2026-11-04 09:16 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $338 533 HUNT\_COIN 59.57x 2026-11-09 16:43 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $338 533 HUNT\_COIN 59.57x 2026-11-09 16:28 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $338 533 HUNT\_COIN 59.57x 2026-11-05 13:31 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $338 533 HUNT\_COIN 59.57x 2026-11-04 05:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=671) [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) [POSK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/POSK) $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $5.68 8.94 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.68 | 87.30% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% other 99.0% best hit $2,236 (393.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.30 on average: an expected loss of $12.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt