--- title: "Haze Case case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Haze Case ($15.45) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.38% from 9 items with odds, observed 104.09% over 126 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/672 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Haze Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/672) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Haze Case A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/672?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/672?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/672) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/672?window=all) Price · $15.45 · 24.34 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.38% · EV $13.50 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 104.09% · 126 openings, odds method Variance · 196.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 200 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 122 openings · below min 30 days · 126 openings · below min since tracking started · 126 openings · below min -0.5% 178.0% 356.5% **Small sample.** 126 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/672?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/672?window=7d) | 122 | 107.46% ±248.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/672) | 126 | 104.09% ±244.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/672?window=all) | 126 | 104.09% ±244.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 126 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $15K 23,625 HUNT\_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $9,151 14,413 HUNT\_COIN | 13.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $4,167 6,562 HUNT\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 714 | $833 1,312 HUNT\_COIN | 8.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $453 713 HUNT\_COIN | 10.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Souvenir Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $233 367 HUNT\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [AWP \| Green Energy (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $183 289 HUNT\_COIN | 13.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $106 167 HUNT\_COIN | 23.6% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.32× | | [Sticker \| Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) | 95.0% | $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 118 | 119.7 | 0.99× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $15.45 24.34 HUNT\_COIN $833 1,312 HUNT\_COIN 53.92x 2026-11-09 16:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=672) [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $15.45 24.34 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 16:47 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $15.45 24.34 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 16:47 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $15.45 24.34 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 16:47 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $15.45 24.34 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 16:47 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $15.45 24.34 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 16:47 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) [Cap18ara](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Cap18ara) $15.45 24.34 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 16:47 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $15.45 24.34 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 16:45 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $15.45 24.34 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 16:45 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $15.45 24.34 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 16:45 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $15.45 24.34 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 16:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $15.45 | 87.38% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% epic 0.0% restricted 0.9% rare 1.0% classified 3.0% Rare 95.0% best hit $833 (53.92x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.38 on average: an expected loss of $12.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt