--- title: "Farming and dreaming case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Farming and dreaming ($0.08) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.79% from 5 items with odds, observed 84.15% over 1,535 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/677 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Farming and dreaming](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/677) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Farming and dreaming A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/677?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/677?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/677) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/677?window=all) Price · $0.08 · 0.12 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.79% · EV $0.07 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.15% · 1,535 openings, odds method Variance · 1165.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 81.94% ±582.30 132 openings 7 days · 82.49% ±261.81 653 openings 30 days · 84.15% ±170.76 1,535 openings since tracking started · 84.15% ±170.76 1,535 openings -0.5% 332.3% 665.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/677?window=24h) | 132 | 81.94% ±582.3 | −0.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/677?window=7d) | 653 | 82.49% ±261.8 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/677) | 1,535 | 84.15% ±170.8 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/677?window=all) | 1,535 | 84.15% ±170.8 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,535 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $2,028 3,194 HUNT\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $1,625 2,559 HUNT\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.33 0.52 HUNT\_COIN | 72.4% | 228 | 230.2 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) | 35.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 13.0% | 515 | 537.3 | 0.96× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 50.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 9.3% | 792 | 767.5 | 1.03× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=677) [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) [SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/SKINS) $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) Hidden $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) [SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/SKINS) $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) Hidden $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) [SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/SKINS) $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/SKINS) $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) [SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/SKINS) $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.08 | 89.79% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% restricted 15.0% other 35.0% Consumer Grade 50.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.79 on average: an expected loss of $10.21 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt