--- title: "MADNESS case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "MADNESS ($0.03) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 2 items with odds, observed 88.87% over 12.8K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/679 rendered: 2026-11-11T12:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [MADNESS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/679) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · MADNESS A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/679?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/679?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/679) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/679?window=all) Price · $0.03 · 0.04 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $0.02 from 2 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.87% · 12.8K openings, odds method Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 100.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 89.47% ±5.03 2,189 openings 7 days · 88.67% ±2.13 12.2K openings 30 days · 88.87% ±2.08 12.8K openings since tracking started · 88.87% ±2.08 12.8K openings 84.0% 89.5% 95.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/679?window=24h) | 2,189 | 89.47% ±5.03 | −0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/679?window=7d) | 12.2K | 88.67% ±2.13 | −1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/679) | 12.8K | 88.87% ±2.08 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/679?window=all) | 12.8K | 88.87% ±2.08 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12.8K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) | 10.0% | $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN | 50.0% | 1,244 | 1283.3 | 0.97× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 90.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 50.0% | 11,589 | 11549.7 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=679) [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Cago](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Cago) $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC [Sticker | Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 4.50x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Calleballe](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Calleballe) $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.03 | 90.00% | 2 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #4b69ff 10.0% Consumer Grade 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt