--- title: "5% Combo case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% Combo ($104.52) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.99% from 9 items with odds, observed 94.29% over 587 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/68 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [5% Combo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/68) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 5% Combo A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/68?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/68?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/68) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/68?window=all) Price · $104.52 · 165 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.99% · EV $90.93 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.29% · 587 openings, odds method Variance · 20.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 77.00% ±37.12 559 openings 30 days · 94.29% ±36.23 587 openings since tracking started · 94.29% ±36.23 587 openings 39.0% 85.0% 131.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/68?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/68?window=7d) | 559 | 77.00% ±37.1 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/68) | 587 | 94.29% ±36.2 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/68?window=all) | 587 | 94.29% ±36.2 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 587 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $4,507 7,098 HUNT\_COIN | 12.4% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $4,333 6,825 HUNT\_COIN | 11.9% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $4,167 6,562 HUNT\_COIN | 11.5% | 5 | 1.5 | 3.41× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $2,546 4,010 HUNT\_COIN | 7.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,660 2,614 HUNT\_COIN | 18.3% | 2 | 5.9 | 0.34× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,543 2,430 HUNT\_COIN | 17.0% | 7 | 5.9 | 1.19× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,055 1,662 HUNT\_COIN | 11.6% | 8 | 5.9 | 1.36× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $868 1,367 HUNT\_COIN | 9.5% | 3 | 5.9 | 0.51× | | [Sticker \| Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) | 95.0% | $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 559 | 557.6 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $4,507 7,098 HUNT\_COIN 43.12x 2026-11-03 23:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $4,333 6,825 HUNT\_COIN 41.46x 2026-11-08 19:57 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $4,167 6,562 HUNT\_COIN 39.86x 2026-11-08 21:05 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $4,167 6,562 HUNT\_COIN 39.86x 2026-11-07 13:51 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $4,167 6,562 HUNT\_COIN 39.86x 2026-11-07 13:48 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $4,167 6,562 HUNT\_COIN 39.86x 2026-11-03 23:03 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $4,167 6,562 HUNT\_COIN 39.86x 2026-11-03 22:55 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $2,546 4,010 HUNT\_COIN 24.36x 2026-11-07 11:47 UTC [★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $1,660 2,614 HUNT\_COIN 15.88x 2026-11-08 19:57 UTC [★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $1,660 2,614 HUNT\_COIN 15.88x 2026-11-07 11:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=68) [Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) [Kirua](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Kirua) $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:09 UTC [Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:09 UTC [Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:09 UTC [Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:09 UTC [Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:07 UTC [Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $105 | 86.99% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #ffd700 0.3% covert 2.3% extraordinary 1.3% covert knife 0.3% legendary 1.0% high 95.0% best hit $4,507 (43.12x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.99 on average: an expected loss of $13.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt