--- title: "1% Ak Dream case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1% Ak Dream ($1.39) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.45% from 7 items with odds, observed 80.49% over 1,071 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/687 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [1% Ak Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/687) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 1% Ak Dream A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/687?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/687?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/687) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/687?window=all) Price · $1.39 · 2.19 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.45% · EV $1.22 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.49% · 1,071 openings, odds method Variance · 106.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 250 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 120 openings · below min 7 days · 939 openings · below min 30 days · 1,071 openings · below min since tracking started · 1,071 openings · below min -0.5% 107.8% 216.0% **Small sample.** 1,071 openings and 4.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/687?window=24h) | 120 | 31.05% ±184.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/687?window=7d) | 939 | 91.16% ±65.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/687) | 1,071 | 80.49% ±61.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/687?window=all) | 1,071 | 80.49% ±61.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,071 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $408 643 HUNT\_COIN | 16.8% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-panthera-onca-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $208 328 HUNT\_COIN | 25.7% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $126 199 HUNT\_COIN | 20.8% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.93× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $86.92 137 HUNT\_COIN | 14.3% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.93× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $60.97 96.03 HUNT\_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $44.25 69.7 HUNT\_COIN | 7.3% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.93× | | [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 99.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN | 5.2% | 1,063 | 1060.3 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 12 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $408 643 HUNT\_COIN 293.5x 2026-11-07 13:04 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-panthera-onca-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $208 328 HUNT\_COIN 149.7x 2026-11-07 13:04 UTC [AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) [PUTO COCAINA](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PUTO%20COCAINA) $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $126 199 HUNT\_COIN 90.80x 2026-11-07 13:32 UTC [AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $126 199 HUNT\_COIN 90.80x 2026-11-05 19:02 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $86.92 137 HUNT\_COIN 62.51x 2026-11-08 20:06 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $86.92 137 HUNT\_COIN 62.51x 2026-11-05 19:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=687) [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:30 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:30 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:30 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:30 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:30 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) [d1sab1ed](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/d1sab1ed) $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:30 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:30 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:30 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:30 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.39 | 87.45% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.7% Legendary 0.1% classified 0.2% #87c7ff 99.0% best hit $408 (293.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.45 on average: an expected loss of $12.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt