--- title: "easy profit case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "easy profit ($0.03) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.49% from 8 items with odds, observed 85.77% over 6,905 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/689 rendered: 2026-11-11T12:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [easy profit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/689) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · easy profit A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/689?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/689?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/689) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/689?window=all) Price · $0.03 · 0.05 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 83.49% · EV $0.03 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.77% · 6,905 openings, odds method Variance · 66.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 87.58% ±19.83 6,466 openings 30 days · 85.77% ±19.19 6,905 openings since tracking started · 85.77% ±19.19 6,905 openings 66.0% 87.0% 108.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/689?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/689?window=7d) | 6,466 | 87.58% ±19.8 | +0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/689) | 6,905 | 85.77% ±19.2 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/689?window=all) | 6,905 | 85.77% ±19.2 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,905 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $20.67 32.56 HUNT\_COIN | 7.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $12.08 19.03 HUNT\_COIN | 4.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 435 | $1.89 2.98 HUNT\_COIN | 16.4% | 13 | 15.9 | 0.82× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 385 | $0.73 1.15 HUNT\_COIN | 7.2% | 19 | 18.0 | 1.06× | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Morris (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-morris-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN | 3.6% | 58 | 69.0 | 0.84× | | [P90 \| Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN | 12.6% | 537 | 517.2 | 1.04× | | [Souvenir P90 \| Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-verdant-growth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 8.6% | 607 | 621.4 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) | 82.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 39.3% | 5,669 | 5662.1 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 10 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=689) [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-10 11:56 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-10 11:56 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-verdant-growth-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.80x 2026-11-10 11:56 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-10 11:56 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-10 11:56 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) [Calleballe](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Calleballe) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-10 11:56 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-10 11:43 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-10 11:43 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-verdant-growth-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.80x 2026-11-10 11:43 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-10 11:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.03 | 83.49% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #d32ce6 0.0% classified 0.0% blue 0.2% mil spec 0.3% milspec 1.0% #4b69ff 7.5% Industrial Grade 9.0% other 82.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.49 on average: an expected loss of $16.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt