--- title: "10% knife or gloves case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% knife or gloves ($9.90) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.38% from 15 items with odds, observed 99.08% over 105 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/692 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% knife or gloves](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/692) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% knife or gloves A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/692?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/692?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/692) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/692?window=all) Price · $9.90 · 15.59 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.38% · EV $8.65 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 99.08% · 105 openings, odds method Variance · 12.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 105 openings · below min 30 days · 105 openings · below min since tracking started · 105 openings · below min 30.0% 99.0% 168.0% **Small sample.** 105 openings and 4.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/692?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/692?window=7d) | 105 | 99.08% ±68.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/692) | 105 | 99.08% ±68.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/692?window=all) | 105 | 99.08% ±68.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 105 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 2,500 | $961 1,514 HUNT\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife) | 1 in 2,000 | $566 891 HUNT\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,111 | $324 511 HUNT\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $264 416 HUNT\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $207 326 HUNT\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $113 179 HUNT\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $110 173 HUNT\_COIN | 5.1% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $92.64 146 HUNT\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 175 | $89.47 141 HUNT\_COIN | 5.9% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 118 | $86.53 136 HUNT\_COIN | 8.5% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Bronzed (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $86.11 136 HUNT\_COIN | 9.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $84.03 132 HUNT\_COIN | 9.7% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.90× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $61.11 96.25 HUNT\_COIN | 14.1% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.95× | | [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN | 19.0% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.95× | | [AUG \| Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) | 90.0% | $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 92 | 94.5 | 0.97× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=692) [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.90 15.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:28 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.90 15.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:28 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.90 15.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:28 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.90 15.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:28 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.90 15.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:28 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) [Nopejustbot](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Nopejustbot) $9.90 15.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:28 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.90 15.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:28 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.90 15.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:28 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.90 15.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:28 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.90 15.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $9.90 | 87.38% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 0.5% covert 3.6% extraordinary 4.6% covert knife 1.3% industrial 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.38 on average: an expected loss of $12.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt