--- title: "imagine case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "imagine ($0.06) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.40% from 6 items with odds, observed 75.90% over 1,278 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/693 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [imagine](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/693) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · imagine A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/693?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/693?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/693) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/693?window=all) Price · $0.06 · 0.1 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.40% · EV $0.05 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 75.90% · 1,278 openings, odds method Variance · 1506.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 76.20% ±221.62 1,178 openings 30 days · 75.90% ±212.77 1,278 openings since tracking started · 75.90% ±212.77 1,278 openings -0.5% 149.0% 298.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/693?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/693?window=7d) | 1,178 | 76.20% ±221.6 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/693) | 1,278 | 75.90% ±212.8 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/693?window=all) | 1,278 | 75.90% ±212.8 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,278 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $2,014 3,172 HUNT\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $1,417 2,231 HUNT\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.36 0.56 HUNT\_COIN | 32.4% | 67 | 63.9 | 1.05× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-warhawk-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN | 31.2% | 47 | 63.9 | 0.74× | | [Sawed-Off \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 40.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 18.5% | 541 | 511.2 | 1.06× | | [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) | 50.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 11.6% | 623 | 639.0 | 0.97× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 10 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=693) [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-10 11:42 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-10 11:42 UTC [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-10 11:42 UTC [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [jurfaustas](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/jurfaustas) $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-10 11:42 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-10 11:10 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-10 11:10 UTC [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-10 11:10 UTC [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-10 11:10 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) [xppp67 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/xppp67%20skins.army) $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-10 11:10 UTC [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-10 11:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.06 | 86.40% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 0.0% covert 0.0% Mythical 5.0% mil spec 5.0% consumer 40.0% Common 50.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.40 on average: an expected loss of $13.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt