--- title: "Karrigoat case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Karrigoat ($1.84) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.35% from 2 items with odds, observed 64.29% over 545 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/701 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Karrigoat](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/701) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Karrigoat A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/701?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/701?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/701) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/701?window=all) Price · $1.84 · 2.9 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.35% · EV $1.61 from 2 items Observed RTP, 30d · 64.29% · 545 openings, odds method Variance · 74.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 423 openings · below min 30 days · 64.29% ±72.39 545 openings since tracking started · 64.29% ±72.39 545 openings -0.5% 141.3% 283.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/701?window=24h) | 36 | 0.69% ±281.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/701?window=7d) | 423 | 82.64% ±82.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/701) | 545 | 64.29% ±72.4 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/701?window=all) | 545 | 64.29% ±72.4 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 560 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $160 251 HUNT\_COIN | 99.2% | 4 | 5.6 | 0.71× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) | 99.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 556 | 554.4 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $1.84 2.9 HUNT\_COIN $160 251 HUNT\_COIN 86.67x 2026-11-09 01:46 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1.84 2.9 HUNT\_COIN $160 251 HUNT\_COIN 86.67x 2026-11-08 01:34 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Viral Hopes](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Viral%20Hopes) $1.84 2.9 HUNT\_COIN $160 251 HUNT\_COIN 86.67x 2026-11-07 03:44 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Viral Hopes](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Viral%20Hopes) $1.84 2.9 HUNT\_COIN $160 251 HUNT\_COIN 86.67x 2026-11-06 03:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=701) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $1.84 2.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:03 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $1.84 2.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:03 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $1.84 2.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:03 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $1.84 2.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:56 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $1.84 2.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:56 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $1.84 2.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:56 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $1.84 2.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $1.84 2.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $1.84 2.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $1.84 2.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.84 | 87.35% | 2 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% consumer 99.0% best hit $160 (86.67x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.35 on average: an expected loss of $12.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt