--- title: "Karrigoat2 case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Karrigoat2 ($4.08) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.65% from 8 items with odds, observed 32.91% over 196 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/702 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Karrigoat2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/702) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Karrigoat2 A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/702?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/702?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/702) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/702?window=all) Price · $4.08 · 6.42 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.65% · EV $3.61 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 32.91% · 196 openings, odds method Variance · 46.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 143 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 166 openings · below min 30 days · 196 openings · below min since tracking started · 196 openings · below min -0.5% 66.8% 134.0% **Small sample.** 196 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/702?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/702?window=7d) | 166 | 29.60% ±104.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/702) | 196 | 32.91% ±95.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/702?window=all) | 196 | 32.91% ±95.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 196 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $550 866 HUNT\_COIN | 15.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $368 580 HUNT\_COIN | 10.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $265 418 HUNT\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $211 332 HUNT\_COIN | 11.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $171 270 HUNT\_COIN | 9.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $136 214 HUNT\_COIN | 11.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Overgrowth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-overgrowth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $62.27 98.08 HUNT\_COIN | 34.5% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.51× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) | 97.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 193 | 190.1 | 1.02× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=702) [Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.08 6.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.08 6.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.08 6.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.08 6.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.08 6.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) [POSK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/POSK) $4.08 6.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 19:27 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.08 6.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 16:47 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.08 6.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 16:47 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.08 6.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 16:47 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.08 6.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 16:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.08 | 88.65% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 0.1% covert 0.8% restricted 0.1% Restricted 2.0% Consumer Grade 97.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.65 on average: an expected loss of $11.35 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt