--- title: "Jeffrey Epstein my Goat case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Jeffrey Epstein my Goat ($3.73) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 7 items with odds, observed 109.98% over 156 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/709 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Jeffrey Epstein my Goat](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/709) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Jeffrey Epstein my Goat A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/709?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/709?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/709) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/709?window=all) Price · $3.73 · 5.88 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $3.36 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 109.98% · 156 openings, odds method Variance · 7.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 84 openings · below min 30 days · 109.98% ±42.04 156 openings since tracking started · 109.98% ±42.04 156 openings 48.5% 106.5% 164.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/709?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/709?window=7d) | 84 | 106.65% ±57.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/709) | 156 | 109.98% ±42.0 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/709?window=all) | 156 | 109.98% ±42.0 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 156 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $128 202 HUNT\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $96.86 153 HUNT\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $51.39 80.94 HUNT\_COIN | 10.7% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $33.82 53.27 HUNT\_COIN | 10.1% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $24.72 38.94 HUNT\_COIN | 40.5% | 13 | 8.6 | 1.52× | | [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $12.92 20.35 HUNT\_COIN | 28.8% | 14 | 11.7 | 1.20× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) | 85.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 126 | 132.6 | 0.95× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=709) [AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $3.73 5.88 HUNT\_COIN $12.92 20.35 HUNT\_COIN 3.46x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.73 5.88 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.73 5.88 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.73 5.88 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.73 5.88 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.73 5.88 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.73 5.88 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.73 5.88 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.73 5.88 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:45 UTC [Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-factory-new) Hidden $3.73 5.88 HUNT\_COIN $24.72 38.94 HUNT\_COIN 6.62x 2026-11-10 09:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.73 | 89.99% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 1.1% mil spec 0.2% rare 6.2% Ancient 7.5% consumer 85.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt