--- title: "2% Blue Dream case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "2% Blue Dream ($7.79) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.39% from 8 items with odds, observed 0.65% over 18 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/721 rendered: 2026-11-11T16:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [2% Blue Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/721) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 2% Blue Dream A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/721?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/721?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/721) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/721?window=all) Price · $7.79 · 12.27 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.39% · EV $6.81 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 0.65% · 18 openings, odds method Variance · 126.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 143 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 98.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 260.5% 521.5% **Small sample.** 18 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/721?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/721?window=7d) | 18 | 0.65% ±520.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/721) | 18 | 0.65% ±520.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/721?window=all) | 18 | 0.65% ±520.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $17.1K 26,979 HUNT\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 11,111 | $4,444 7,000 HUNT\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $1,249 1,967 HUNT\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $764 1,203 HUNT\_COIN | 16.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Lunar Weave (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-lunar-weave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $486 766 HUNT\_COIN | 35.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) | 1 in 167 | $174 273 HUNT\_COIN | 15.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 143 | $153 241 HUNT\_COIN | 15.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [MP9 \| Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) | 98.0% | $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 18 | 17.6 | 1.02× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=721) [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) Hidden $7.79 12.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 10:08 UTC [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) Hidden $7.79 12.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 10:08 UTC [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) Hidden $7.79 12.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 10:08 UTC [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) Hidden $7.79 12.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 10:08 UTC [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) Hidden $7.79 12.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 10:08 UTC [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $7.79 12.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 10:08 UTC [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) Hidden $7.79 12.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 10:08 UTC [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) Hidden $7.79 12.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 10:08 UTC [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) Hidden $7.79 12.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 10:08 UTC [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) Hidden $7.79 12.27 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 10:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.79 | 87.39% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 1.3% covert knife 0.7% gray 98.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.39 on average: an expected loss of $12.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt