--- title: "1% Dedication case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1% Dedication ($6.78) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.31% from 15 items with odds, observed 46.25% over 156 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/723 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [1% Dedication](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/723) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 1% Dedication A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/723?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/723?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/723) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/723?window=all) Price · $6.78 · 10.68 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.31% · EV $5.92 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 46.25% · 156 openings, odds method Variance · 114.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 313 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 126 openings · below min 30 days · 156 openings · below min since tracking started · 156 openings · below min -0.5% 107.3% 215.0% **Small sample.** 156 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/723?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/723?window=7d) | 126 | 1.69% ±187.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/723) | 156 | 46.25% ±168.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/723?window=all) | 156 | 46.25% ±168.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 156 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $3,681 5,797 HUNT\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,747 4,327 HUNT\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $1,929 3,038 HUNT\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,389 2,187 HUNT\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,249 1,967 HUNT\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $868 1,367 HUNT\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $827 1,303 HUNT\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $816 1,285 HUNT\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $799 1,258 HUNT\_COIN | 8.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $764 1,203 HUNT\_COIN | 9.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $546 860 HUNT\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $472 743 HUNT\_COIN | 10.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $324 511 HUNT\_COIN | 11.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $285 448 HUNT\_COIN | 12.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| Cloud9 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9) | 99.0% | $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 155 | 154.4 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $6.78 10.68 HUNT\_COIN $472 743 HUNT\_COIN 69.54x 2026-11-04 07:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=723) [Sticker | Cloud9 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9) Hidden $6.78 10.68 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 09:43 UTC [Sticker | Cloud9 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9) Hidden $6.78 10.68 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 09:43 UTC [Sticker | Cloud9 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9) Hidden $6.78 10.68 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 09:43 UTC [Sticker | Cloud9 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9) Hidden $6.78 10.68 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 09:43 UTC [Sticker | Cloud9 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9) Hidden $6.78 10.68 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 09:43 UTC [Sticker | Cloud9 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9) [Harry](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Harry) $6.78 10.68 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 09:43 UTC [Sticker | Cloud9 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9) Hidden $6.78 10.68 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 01:42 UTC [Sticker | Cloud9 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9) Hidden $6.78 10.68 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 01:42 UTC [Sticker | Cloud9 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9) Hidden $6.78 10.68 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 01:42 UTC [Sticker | Cloud9 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9) Hidden $6.78 10.68 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 01:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.78 | 87.31% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 0.3% #ffd700 0.0% covert knife 0.1% extraordinary 0.4% classified 0.0% covert 0.1% restricted 0.1% sunny 0.1% other 99.0% best hit $472 (69.54x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.31 on average: an expected loss of $12.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt