--- title: "%5 water bomb case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "%5 water bomb ($7.92) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.12% from 7 items with odds, observed 89.74% over 366 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/724 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [%5 water bomb](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/724) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt)%5 water bomb A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/724?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/724?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/724) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/724?window=all) Price · $7.92 · 12.47 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.12% · EV $7.06 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.74% · 366 openings, odds method Variance · 22.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 11 openings · below min 7 days · 114 openings · below min 30 days · 89.74% ±48.15 366 openings since tracking started · 89.74% ±48.15 366 openings -0.5% 270.0% 540.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/724?window=24h) | 11 | 262.29% ±277.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/724?window=7d) | 114 | 86.32% ±86.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/724) | 366 | 89.74% ±48.2 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/724?window=all) | 366 | 89.74% ±48.2 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 366 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $444 699 HUNT\_COIN | 22.0% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 154 | $225 354 HUNT\_COIN | 20.7% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.68× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $137 216 HUNT\_COIN | 19.4% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.55× | | [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $128 202 HUNT\_COIN | 18.2% | 8 | 3.7 | 2.19× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $70.83 112 HUNT\_COIN | 10.0% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $34.97 55.07 HUNT\_COIN | 5.0% | 6 | 3.7 | 1.64× | | [Sticker \| Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) | 95.0% | $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN | 4.6% | 345 | 347.7 | 0.99× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=724) [Sticker | Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $7.92 12.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) Hidden $7.92 12.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) Hidden $7.92 12.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) Hidden $7.92 12.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) Hidden $7.92 12.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) Hidden $7.92 12.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) Hidden $7.92 12.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC [Sticker | Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) Hidden $7.92 12.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC [Sticker | Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) Hidden $7.92 12.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC [Sticker | Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) Hidden $7.92 12.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.92 | 89.12% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.3% Legendary 0.7% covert knife 1.0% classified 2.0% industrial 1.0% remarkable 95.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.12 on average: an expected loss of $10.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt